How did "Verstappen wins Austrian Grand Prix?" resolve?

It resolved No around June 30, 2024.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 40.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Verstappen wins Austrian Grand Prix?: result and scorecard

Name: Verstappen wins Austrian Grand Prix? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 40.0%; a week before, –. $4K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved June 30, 2024

Price 1 day before

40.0%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$4K

1 outcome

Sports

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$4K
No	WON	$4K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 40% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Verstappen wins Austrian Grand Prix?" resolve?: It resolved No around June 30, 2024.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 40.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $4K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.