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Resolved market scorecard

Ukraine vs. Hungary: result and scorecard

Resolved Hungary. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 32.0%; a week before, 28.0%. $334K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Hungary
resolved October 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

32.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

28.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$334K
3 outcomes

SportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations LeagueUNL Matchday

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
HungaryWON$153K
UkraineLOST$114K
Draw (Ukraine vs. Hungary)LOST$67K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-2209-2910-05
HungaryUkraineDraw (Ukraine vs. Hungary)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 32% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Ukraine and Hungary.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ukraine vs. Hungary" resolve?
It resolved Hungary around October 5, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 32.0% one day before close, 28.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$334K across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.