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Resolved market scorecard

Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: result and scorecard

Resolved Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Hungary). One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 32.5%; a week before, 31.0%. $329K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Hungary)
resolved September 28, 2026

Price 1 day before

32.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

31.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$329K
3 outcomes

SportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations LeagueUNL Matchday

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Hungary)WON$48K
Northern IrelandLOST$145K
HungaryLOST$137K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-1509-2209-28
Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Hungary)Northern IrelandHungary
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 33% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Northern Ireland and Hungary.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Northern Ireland vs. Hungary" resolve?
It resolved Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Hungary) around September 28, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 32.5% one day before close, 31.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$329K across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.