Resolved market scorecard
Croatia vs. Spain: result and scorecard
Resolved Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 78.5%; a week before, 69.5%. $9.9M traded in total.
Result
Spain
resolved October 6, 2026
Price 1 day before
78.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
69.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$9.9M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations LeagueUNL Matchday
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Spain | WON |
| Croatia | LOST |
| Draw (Croatia vs. Spain) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
SpainCroatiaDraw (Croatia vs. Spain)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 79% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Croatia and Spain.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Croatia vs. Spain" resolve?
- It resolved Spain around October 6, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 78.5% one day before close, 69.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $9.9M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.