UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid · Keiichiro Nakamura at 76.5%, ahead of Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid · Ollie Schmid at 23.5%. $9K traded across 19 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid moneyline | Keiichiro Nakamura 76.5% | Ollie Schmid 23.5% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds totals | Over 54.5% | Under 45.5% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? ufc go the distance | Yes 27.0% | No 73.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 60.0% | No 40.0% |
| Nakamura to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 55.5% | No 44.5% |
| Schmid to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 28.0% | No 72.0% |
| Fight won by submission? ufc method of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds totals | Over 68.0% | Under 32.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds totals | Over 39.5% | Under 60.5% |
| Fight won by decision? ufc method of finish | Yes 34.5% | No 65.5% |
| Ends before Round 2? ufc round of finish | Yes 37.0% | No 63.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? ufc round of finish | Yes 59.0% | No 41.0% |
| Nakamura in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 38.0% | No 62.0% |
| Nakamura in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 31.5% | No 68.5% |
| Nakamura in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 28.5% | No 71.5% |
| Schmid in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Schmid in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Schmid in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Decision or Draw ufc round of victory | Yes 35.0% | No 65.0% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Keiichiro Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Ollie Schmid" if Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid · Keiichiro Nakamura is the favorite at 76.5%, followed by O/U 0.5 Rounds · Over at 68.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $9K in total and $385 in the last 24 hours, with about $60K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.