UFC Fight Night: Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta · Waldo Cortes Acosta at 67.5%, ahead of Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta · Johnny Walker at 32.5%. $8K traded across 27 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta moneyline | Johnny Walker 32.5% | Waldo Cortes Acosta 67.5% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds totals | Over 65.5% | Under 34.5% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 61.0% | No 39.0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? ufc go the distance | Yes 24.5% | No 75.5% |
| Walker to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 31.5% | No 68.5% |
| Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 48.0% | No 52.0% |
| Fight won by submission? ufc method of victory | Yes 27.5% | No 72.5% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds totals | Over 72.0% | Under 28.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds totals | Over 44.5% | Under 55.5% |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds totals | Over 37.5% | Under 62.5% |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds totals | Over 34.0% | Under 66.0% |
| Fight won by decision? ufc method of finish | Yes 33.0% | No 67.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? ufc round of finish | Yes 25.0% | No 75.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? ufc round of finish | Yes 47.5% | No 52.5% |
| Ends before Round 4? ufc round of finish | Yes 63.5% | No 36.5% |
| Ends before Round 5? ufc round of finish | Yes 74.0% | No 26.0% |
| Walker in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Walker in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Walker in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Walker in Round 4 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Walker in Round 5 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 30.5% | No 69.5% |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 30.0% | No 70.0% |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 27.5% | No 72.5% |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 4 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Cortes Acosta in Round 5 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Decision or Draw ufc round of victory | Yes 33.5% | No 66.5% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Johnny Walker" if Johnny Walker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Waldo Cortes Acosta at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Waldo Cortes Acosta" if Waldo Cortes Acosta is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Johnny Walker and Waldo Cortes Acosta at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026, officially ends before Round 5 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 4 and Round 5 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UFC Fight Night: Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta · Waldo Cortes Acosta is the favorite at 67.5%, followed by O/U 0.5 Rounds · Over at 72.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $8K in total and $795 in the last 24 hours, with about $86K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.