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Home / Markets / UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight
Resolved market scorecard

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card): result and scorecard

Resolved Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry · Islam Makhachev. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 75.5%; a week before, 75.5%. $6.4M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:37 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry · Islam Makhachev
resolved August 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

75.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

75.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$6.4M
11 outcomes

SportsUFCGamesUFC 330

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry · Islam MakhachevWON$5.8M
Fight to Go the Distance?WON$248K
O/U 4.5 Rounds · OverWON$99K
O/U 0.5 Rounds · OverWON$8K
O/U 2.5 Rounds · OverWON$6K
O/U 3.5 Rounds · OverWON$3K
O/U 1.5 Rounds · OverWON$2K
Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry · Ian Machado GarryLOST$5.8M
Machado Garry to win by KO/TKO?LOST$119K
O/U 4.5 Rounds · UnderLOST$99K
Fight won by submission?LOST$65K
Makhachev to win by KO/TKO?LOST$56K
Fight won by KO/TKO?LOST$33K
O/U 0.5 Rounds · UnderLOST$8K
O/U 2.5 Rounds · UnderLOST$6K
O/U 3.5 Rounds · UnderLOST$3K
O/U 1.5 Rounds · UnderLOST$2K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-0208-0908-16
Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry · Islam MakhachevFight to Go the Distance?O/U 4.5 Rounds · OverO/U 0.5 Rounds · Over
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 76% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Islam Makhachev" if Islam Makhachev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Ian Machado Garry" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

How did "UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)" resolve?
It resolved Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry · Islam Makhachev around August 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 75.5% one day before close, 75.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$6.4M across 11 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.