UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando · Lucas Fernando at 73.5%, ahead of Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando · Billy Elekana at 26.5%. $5K traded across 19 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando moneyline | Billy Elekana 26.5% | Lucas Fernando 73.5% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? ufc go the distance | Yes 40.5% | No 59.5% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds totals | Over 65.0% | Under 35.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 42.5% | No 57.5% |
| Elekana to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Fernando to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 39.0% | No 61.0% |
| Fight won by submission? ufc method of victory | Yes 31.0% | No 69.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds totals | Over 72.0% | Under 28.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds totals | Over 47.5% | Under 52.5% |
| Fight won by decision? ufc method of finish | Yes 42.0% | No 58.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? ufc round of finish | Yes 26.0% | No 74.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? ufc round of finish | Yes 46.5% | No 53.5% |
| Elekana in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Elekana in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Elekana in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Fernando in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 32.0% | No 68.0% |
| Fernando in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 29.5% | No 70.5% |
| Fernando in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 27.0% | No 73.0% |
| Decision or Draw ufc round of victory | Yes 42.0% | No 58.0% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Billy Elekana" if Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Fernando at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando · Lucas Fernando is the favorite at 73.5%, followed by O/U 0.5 Rounds · Over at 72.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $5K in total and $580 in the last 24 hours, with about $71K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.