Resolved market scorecard
AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: result and scorecard
Resolved Real Madrid CF. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 48.5%; a week before, 51.5%. $11.1M traded in total.
Result
Real Madrid CF
resolved October 14, 2026
Price 1 day before
48.5%
Market was a coin flip
Price 7 days before
51.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$11.1M
3 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid CF | WON |
| AS Roma | LOST |
| Draw (AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Real Madrid CFAS RomaDraw (AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 49% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between AS Roma and Real Madrid CF.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF" resolve?
- It resolved Real Madrid CF around October 14, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 48.5% one day before close, 51.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $11.1M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.