Resolved market scorecard
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: result and scorecard
Resolved FC Bayern München. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 41.5%; a week before, 44.5%. $10.6M traded in total.
Result
FC Bayern München
resolved April 8, 2026
Price 1 day before
41.5%
Market was a coin flip
Price 7 days before
44.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$10.6M
3 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| FC Bayern München | WON |
| Real Madrid CF | LOST |
| Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
FC Bayern MünchenReal Madrid CFDraw (Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 42% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 7, 2026 between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München" resolve?
- It resolved FC Bayern München around April 7, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 41.5% one day before close, 44.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $10.6M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.