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Resolved market scorecard

TikTok sale announced by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved December 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 92.4%. $14.0M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

December 31
resolved December 26, 2025

Price 1 day before

99.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

92.4%
30 days before: 10.5%

Volume

$14.0M
5 outcomes

TikTokTech

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
December 31WON$9.7M
March 31WON$1.2M
September 30LOST$1.5M
October 31LOST$1.5M
November 30LOST$72K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-1808-2212-26
December 31March 31September 30October 31
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if ByteDance announces their intention to sell TikTok by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A public announcement of the intention to sell TikTok will qualify even if a sale has not been finalized. This includes any formal declaration made by ByteDance or its authorized representatives regarding their plans to sell or transfer ownership of TikTok. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ByteDance. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "TikTok sale announced by...?" resolve?
It resolved December 31 around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 92.4% one week before and 10.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$14.0M across 5 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.