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Resolved market scorecard

Margin of Victory: result and scorecard

Resolved Eagles by 16-18. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 3.5%; a week before, 3.1%. $58K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:30 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Eagles by 16-18
resolved February 10, 2025

Price 1 day before

3.5%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

3.1%
30 days before: –

Volume

$58K
17 outcomes

SportsNFL (All)Super Bowl LIXchiefseagles

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Eagles by 16-18WON$4K
Eagles by 22+LOST$12K
Eagles by 19-21LOST$5K
Eagles by 7-9LOST$4K
Eagles by 1-3LOST$4K
Chiefs by 7-9LOST$3K
Eagles by 13-15LOST$3K
Eagles by 4-6LOST$3K
Chiefs by 1-3LOST$3K
Chiefs by 4-6LOST$3K
Chiefs by 16-18LOST$3K
Chiefs by 19-21LOST$2K
Eagles by 10-12LOST$2K
Delayed/PostponedLOST$2K
Chiefs by 22+LOST$1K
Chiefs by 13-15LOST$1K
Chiefs by 10-12LOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2802-0302-10
Eagles by 16-18Eagles by 22+Eagles by 19-21Eagles by 7-9
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 3% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed” The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Margin of Victory" resolve?
It resolved Eagles by 16-18 around February 9, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 3.5% one day before close, 3.1% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$58K across 17 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.