SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?: result and scorecard
Resolved >$2T. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 68.0%; a week before, 63.5%. $20.1M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Big TechElon MuskIPOSpaceXIPOs
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| >$2T | WON |
| >$1.8T | WON |
| >$1T | WON |
| >$1.6T | WON |
| >$1.2T | WON |
| >$1.4T | WON |
| >$3T | LOST |
| >$2.2T | LOST |
| >$2.4T | LOST |
| >$2.6T | LOST |
| >$4T | LOST |
| >$2.8T | LOST |
| >$3.2T | LOST |
| >$3.8T | LOST |
| >$3.4T | LOST |
| >$3.6T | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" resolve?
- It resolved >$2T around December 31, 2027.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 68.0% one day before close, 63.5% one week before and 70.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $20.1M across 16 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.