Resolved market scorecard
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.9%; a week before, 98.1%. $381K traded in total.
Result
Yes
resolved November 30, 2023
Price 1 day before
97.9%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
98.1%
30 days before: –
Volume
$381K
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman resumes his role as CEO of OpenAI by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official statements from OpenAI and Sam Altman, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around December 31, 2023.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.9% one day before close, 98.1% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $381K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.