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Home / Markets / Oscars: Best Supporting Actress
Resolved market scorecard

Oscars: Best Supporting Actress: result and scorecard

Resolved Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez". One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 92.0%; a week before, 90.0%. $838K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez"
resolved March 3, 2025

Price 1 day before

92.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

90.0%
30 days before: 72.5%

Volume

$838K
13 outcomes

OscarsMoviesCultureDepreciated5Awards

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez"WON$146K
Felicity Jones – "The Brutalist"LOST$352K
Monica Barbaro - "A Complete Unknown"LOST$167K
Ariana Grande – "Wicked"LOST$84K
Isabella Rossellini – "Conclave"LOST$66K
Danielle Deadwyler – "The Piano Lesson"LOST$24K
Actress BLOST$0
Actress CLOST$0
Actress DLOST$0
Actress ELOST$0
Actress FLOST$0
Actress GLOST$0
Actress HLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2202-1103-03
Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez"Felicity Jones – "The Brutalist"Monica Barbaro - "A Complete Unknown"Ariana Grande – "Wicked"
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 92% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the actress who wins the Academy Award for Supporting Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Oscars: Best Supporting Actress" resolve?
It resolved Zoe Saldaña – "Emilia Pérez" around March 2, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 92.0% one day before close, 90.0% one week before and 72.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$838K across 13 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.