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Home / Markets / Oscars: Best Picture
Resolved market scorecard

Oscars: Best Picture: result and scorecard

Resolved Anora. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 66.5%; a week before, 57.5%. $5.4M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Anora
resolved March 3, 2025

Price 1 day before

66.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

57.5%
30 days before: 16.5%

Volume

$5.4M
21 outcomes

OscarsMoviesCultureDepreciated5Awards

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
AnoraWON$956K
WickedLOST$644K
The BrutalistLOST$585K
Dune: Part TwoLOST$568K
I'm Still HereLOST$508K
Nickel BoysLOST$505K
Emilia PérezLOST$445K
ConclaveLOST$399K
A Complete UnknownLOST$336K
The SubstanceLOST$277K
NosferatuLOST$30K
Sing SingLOST$30K
SeptemberLOST$29K
A Real PainLOST$22K
ChallengersLOST$20K
"Movie C"LOST$0
"Movie D"LOST$0
"Movie E"LOST$0
"Movie F"LOST$0
Movie GLOST$0
Movie HLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2202-1103-03
AnoraWickedThe BrutalistDune: Part Two
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 67% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Oscars: Best Picture" resolve?
It resolved Anora around March 2, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 66.5% one day before close, 57.5% one week before and 16.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$5.4M across 21 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.