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Resolved market scorecard

Oscars: Best Original Screenplay : result and scorecard

Resolved "Anora". One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 67.5%; a week before, 63.5%. $669K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

"Anora"
resolved March 3, 2025

Price 1 day before

67.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

63.5%
30 days before: 72.5%

Volume

$669K
5 outcomes

OscarsMoviesCultureDepreciated5Awards

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
"Anora"WON$169K
"The Substance"LOST$151K
"September 5"LOST$150K
"The Brutalist"LOST$113K
"A Real Pain"LOST$86K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2502-1203-03
"Anora""The Substance""September 5""The Brutalist"
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 68% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the film that wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No." If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Oscars: Best Original Screenplay " resolve?
It resolved "Anora" around March 2, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 67.5% one day before close, 63.5% one week before and 72.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$669K across 5 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.