What are the odds that OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 82.7% and No at 17.3%, on $29K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$29K in total and $2 in the last 24 hours, with about $447 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Live market data

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 82.7% (+3.3 pts in 24h). $29K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

82.7%

No 17.3% · Trade →

24h move

+3.3

pts · 7d +2.4

Volume

$29K

24h $2 · liquidity $447

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

gpt OpenAI AI Big Tech GPT-5

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	82.7%	+3.3	+2.4	$29K	30.1¢
No	17.3%	-3.3	-2.4	$29K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 83% risks 83¢ to win 17¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 82.7% and No at 17.3%, on $29K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $29K in total and $2 in the last 24 hours, with about $447 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.