# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 15-17.5M at 30.5%, ahead of 17.5-20M at 29.5%. $2K traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
viewsgamingCultureMrBeastYouTube
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 15-17.5M | 30.5% | -2.0 |
| 17.5-20M | 29.5% | +9.0 |
| 20-22.5M | 15.5% | +2.5 |
| 12.5-15M | 14.0% | -6.5 |
| 22.5M+ | 11.0% | 0.0 |
| 10-12.5M | 8.5% | +0.5 |
| <10M | 0.7% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 15-17.5M is the favorite at 30.5%, followed by 17.5-20M at 29.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on October 25, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2K in total and $948 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.