LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Resolved market scorecard

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 96.8%; a week before, 96.0%. $181K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved May 20, 2026

Price 1 day before

96.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

96.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$181K
1 outcome

EarningsFinanceNVDAHide From NewEquities

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$181K
NoLOST$181K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-1205-1605-20
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 97% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

As of market creation, NVIDIA is estimated to release earnings on May 20, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for NVIDIA’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.77 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NVIDIA reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.77 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If NVIDIA releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve accord

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around May 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.8% one day before close, 96.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$181K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.