Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 96.8%; a week before, 96.0%. $181K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
EarningsFinanceNVDAHide From NewEquities
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
As of market creation, NVIDIA is estimated to release earnings on May 20, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for NVIDIA’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.77 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NVIDIA reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.77 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If NVIDIA releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve accord
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around May 20, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.8% one day before close, 96.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $181K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.