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Resolved market scorecard

NFL MVP: result and scorecard

Resolved Matthew Stafford. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 90.9%; a week before, 89.5%. $5.5M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Matthew Stafford
resolved February 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

90.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

89.5%
30 days before: 62.3%

Volume

$5.5M
68 outcomes

SportsNFL (All)Awards

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Matthew StaffordWON$1.0M
Drake MayeLOST$936K
Josh AllenLOST$304K
Baker MayfieldLOST$262K
Christian McCaffreyLOST$187K
Jordan LoveLOST$169K
Trevor LawrenceLOST$161K
Myles GarrettLOST$149K
Jonathan TaylorLOST$127K
Daniel JonesLOST$108K
Justin HerbertLOST$104K
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaLOST$101K
Bryce YoungLOST$101K
Caleb WilliamsLOST$97K
Bo NixLOST$93K
Sam DarnoldLOST$93K
Dak PrescottLOST$84K
Patrick MahomesLOST$79K
Cameron WardLOST$78K
CeeDee LambLOST$76K
J.J. McCarthyLOST$73K
Kyler MurrayLOST$72K
Derrick HenryLOST$70K
Maxx CrosbyLOST$66K
Aaron RodgersLOST$58K
Jayden DanielsLOST$58K
Justin FieldsLOST$57K
Jared GoffLOST$57K
Jalen HurtsLOST$53K
Joe BurrowLOST$50K
C.J. StroudLOST$49K
Lamar JacksonLOST$48K
Justin JeffersonLOST$47K
Brock PurdyLOST$44K
Russell WilsonLOST$43K
Bijan RobinsonLOST$42K
T.J. WattLOST$41K
Saquon BarkleyLOST$36K
Tua TagovailoaLOST$33K
Geno SmithLOST$33K
Michael PenixLOST$33K
Ja'Marr ChaseLOST$30K
Jahmyr GibbsLOST$28K
Micah ParsonsLOST$28K
Other LOST$0
Player DLOST$0
Player ELOST$0
Player FLOST$0
Player GLOST$0
Player HLOST$0
Player ILOST$0
Player JLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
Player QLOST$0
Player RLOST$0
Player SLOST$0
Player TLOST$0
Player ULOST$0
Player VLOST$0
Player WLOST$0
Player XLOST$0
Player YLOST$0
Player ZLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-2410-3002-06
Matthew StaffordDrake MayeJosh AllenBaker Mayfield
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 91% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL regular season MVP.

Frequently asked questions

How did "NFL MVP" resolve?
It resolved Matthew Stafford around February 18, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 90.9% one day before close, 89.5% one week before and 62.3% one month before.
How much was traded?
$5.5M across 68 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.