How did "Chargers vs. Chiefs" resolve?

It resolved Chargers around December 14, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 28.5% one day before close, 36.0% one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Chargers vs. Chiefs

Resolved market scorecard

Chargers vs. Chiefs: result and scorecard

Name: Chargers vs. Chiefs prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Chargers. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 28.5%; a week before, 36.0%. $2.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Chargers

resolved December 15, 2025

Price 1 day before

28.5%

Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

36.0%

30 days before: –

Volume

$2.2M

86 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Chargers	WON	$1.8M
Spread -5.5 · Chargers	WON	$189K
Spread -6.5 · Chargers	WON	$84K
O/U 41.5 · Under	WON	$57K
O/U 42.5 · Under	WON	$39K
O/U 44.5 · Under	WON	$18K
Spread -4.5 · Chargers	WON	$7K
1H Moneyline · Chiefs	WON	$2K
Spread -7.5 · Chargers	WON	$1K
1H Spread -3.5 · Chargers	WON	$544
O/U 43.5 · Under	WON	$440
1H O/U 20.5 · Over	WON	$330
Kareem Hunt: Receiving Yards O/U 7.5 · Over	WON	$226
Keenan Allen: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 · Over	WON	$224
1H Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	WON	$215
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 · Over	WON	$202
Oronde Gadsden: Receiving Yards O/U 33.5 · Over	WON	$202
Omarion Hampton: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5 · Over	WON	$201
First Touchdown: Patrick Mahomes · Patrick Mahomes	WON	$198
Chargers O/U 10.5 · Over	WON	$161
Chargers O/U 11.5 · Over	WON	$161
Chargers O/U 7.5 · Over	WON	$161
Chargers O/U 8.5 · Over	WON	$161
O/U 46.5 · Under	WON	$115
First Touchdown: Quentin Johnston · No Touchdown	WON	$98
First Touchdown: Kareem Hunt · No Touchdown	WON	$92
First Touchdown: Omarion Hampton · No Touchdown	WON	$92
First Touchdown: Ladd McConkey · No Touchdown	WON	$92
First Touchdown: Oronde Gadsden · No Touchdown	WON	$92
Chiefs O/U 13.5 · Under	WON	$87
Kimani Vidal: Rushing Yards O/U 28.5 · Over	WON	$84
Spread -8.5 · Chargers	WON	$71
Spread -3.5 · Chargers	WON	$71
1H O/U 22.5 · Over	WON	$64
O/U 40.5 · Under	WON	$56
First Touchdown: Xavier Worthy · No Touchdown	WON	$56
Chargers O/U 25.5 · Under	WON	$44
Chargers O/U 19.5 · Under	WON	$43
Chiefs O/U 23.5 · Under	WON	$43
Chiefs O/U 20.5 · Under	WON	$43
Chiefs O/U 19.5 · Under	WON	$43
Chargers O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$43
Chiefs O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$43
Chiefs O/U 16.5 · Under	WON	$43
Spread -2.5 · Chargers	WON	$43
Spread -1.5 · Chargers	WON	$43
First Touchdown: Rashee Rice · No Touchdown	WON	$35
First Touchdown: Travis Kelce · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Isiah Pacheco · No Touchdown	WON	$33
Kareem Hunt: Rushing Yards O/U 37.5 · Under	WON	$33
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 · Under	WON	$33
Isiah Pacheco: Rushing Yards O/U 30.5 · Under	WON	$33
Justin Herbert: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 · Under	WON	$33
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 63.5 · Under	WON	$33
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Under	WON	$33
Quentin Johnston: Receiving Yards O/U 33.5 · Under	WON	$33
Ladd McConkey: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5 · Under	WON	$33
Xavier Worthy: Rushing Yards O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$33
Marquise Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 15.5 · Under	WON	$33
Noah Gray: Receiving Yards O/U 8.5 · Under	WON	$33
Spread -9.5 · Chargers	WON	$33
Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	WON	$28
Spread -10.5 · Chargers	WON	$21
O/U 39.5 · Under	WON	$18
O/U 36.5 · Under	WON	$18
Chargers O/U 18.5 · Under	WON	$15
Chargers O/U 16.5 · Under	WON	$15
Chiefs O/U 14.5 · Under	WON	$15
Chargers O/U 27.5 · Under	WON	$15
Chiefs O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$15
Chargers O/U 26.5 · Under	WON	$15
O/U 38.5 · Under	WON	$15
O/U 35.5 · Under	WON	$15
Spread -1.5 · Chargers	WON	$0
Spread -2.5 · Chargers	WON	$0
O/U 34.5 · Under	WON	$0
Chiefs	LOST	$1.8M
Spread -5.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$189K
Spread -6.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$84K
O/U 41.5 · Over	LOST	$57K
O/U 42.5 · Over	LOST	$39K
O/U 44.5 · Over	LOST	$18K
Spread -4.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$7K
1H Moneyline · Chargers	LOST	$2K
Spread -7.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$1K
Quentin Johnston: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$1K
1H Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$544
O/U 43.5 · Over	LOST	$440
1H O/U 20.5 · Under	LOST	$330
Kareem Hunt: Receiving Yards O/U 7.5 · Under	LOST	$226
Keenan Allen: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 · Under	LOST	$224
1H Spread -2.5 · Chargers	LOST	$215
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 · Under	LOST	$202
Oronde Gadsden: Receiving Yards O/U 33.5 · Under	LOST	$202
Omarion Hampton: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5 · Under	LOST	$201
First Touchdown: Patrick Mahomes · No Touchdown	LOST	$198
Chargers O/U 10.5 · Under	LOST	$161
Chargers O/U 11.5 · Under	LOST	$161
Chargers O/U 7.5 · Under	LOST	$161
Chargers O/U 8.5 · Under	LOST	$161
O/U 46.5 · Over	LOST	$115
First Touchdown: Quentin Johnston · Quentin Johnston	LOST	$98
Keenan Allen: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$92
First Touchdown: Kareem Hunt · Kareem Hunt	LOST	$92
First Touchdown: Omarion Hampton · Omarion Hampton	LOST	$92
First Touchdown: Ladd McConkey · Ladd McConkey	LOST	$92
First Touchdown: Oronde Gadsden · Oronde Gadsden	LOST	$92
Chiefs O/U 13.5 · Over	LOST	$87
Kimani Vidal: Rushing Yards O/U 28.5 · Under	LOST	$84
Kareem Hunt: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$76
Spread -8.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$71
Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$71
1H O/U 22.5 · Under	LOST	$64
O/U 40.5 · Over	LOST	$56
First Touchdown: Xavier Worthy · Xavier Worthy	LOST	$56
Isiah Pacheco: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$51
Chargers O/U 25.5 · Over	LOST	$44
Chargers O/U 19.5 · Over	LOST	$43
Chiefs O/U 23.5 · Over	LOST	$43
Chiefs O/U 20.5 · Over	LOST	$43
Chiefs O/U 19.5 · Over	LOST	$43
Chargers O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$43
Chiefs O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$43
Chiefs O/U 16.5 · Over	LOST	$43
Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$43
Spread -1.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$43
First Touchdown: Rashee Rice · Rashee Rice	LOST	$35
Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Omarion Hampton: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Ladd McConkey: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Oronde Gadsden: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Travis Kelce · Travis Kelce	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Isiah Pacheco · Isiah Pacheco	LOST	$33
Kareem Hunt: Rushing Yards O/U 37.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Isiah Pacheco: Rushing Yards O/U 30.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Justin Herbert: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 63.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Quentin Johnston: Receiving Yards O/U 33.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Ladd McConkey: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Xavier Worthy: Rushing Yards O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Marquise Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 15.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Noah Gray: Receiving Yards O/U 8.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Spread -9.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$33
Spread -3.5 · Chargers	LOST	$28
Spread -10.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$21
O/U 39.5 · Over	LOST	$18
O/U 36.5 · Over	LOST	$18
Chargers O/U 18.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Chargers O/U 16.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Chiefs O/U 14.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Chargers O/U 27.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Chiefs O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Chargers O/U 26.5 · Over	LOST	$15
O/U 38.5 · Over	LOST	$15
O/U 35.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Spread -1.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$0
Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$0
O/U 34.5 · Over	LOST	$0

Price history to resolution

ChargersSpread -5.5 · ChargersO/U 41.5 · Under

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 28% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 14 at 8:00AM ET: If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Chargers vs. Chiefs" resolve?: It resolved Chargers around December 14, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 28.5% one day before close, 36.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $2.2M across 86 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.