Resolved market scorecard
Chiefs vs. Broncos: result and scorecard
Resolved Broncos. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 33.5%; a week before, 34.5%. $2.5M traded in total.
Result
Broncos
resolved November 17, 2025
Price 1 day before
33.5%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
34.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$2.5M
27 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Broncos | WON |
| Spread -3.5 · Broncos | WON |
| O/U 45.5 · Under | WON |
| Spread -4.5 · Broncos | WON |
| O/U 44.5 · Under | WON |
| O/U 43.5 · Under | WON |
| 1H O/U 22.5 · Under | WON |
| Broncos O/U 20.5 · Over | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 16.5 · Over | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 14.5 · Over | WON |
| Broncos O/U 10.5 · Over | WON |
| Broncos O/U 13.5 · Over | WON |
| Broncos O/U 17.5 · Over | WON |
| Broncos O/U 14.5 · Over | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 13.5 · Over | WON |
| Broncos O/U 18.5 · Over | WON |
| 1H Spread -2.5 · Broncos | WON |
| Broncos O/U 28.5 · Under | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 22.5 · Under | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 23.5 · Under | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 20.5 · Under | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 21.5 · Under | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 24.5 · Under | WON |
| 1H O/U 23.5 · Under | WON |
| Chiefs O/U 26.5 · Under | WON |
| 1H Moneyline · Chiefs | LOST |
| 1H Moneyline · Broncos | LOST |
| Chiefs | LOST |
| Spread -3.5 · Chiefs | LOST |
| O/U 45.5 · Over | LOST |
| Spread -4.5 · Chiefs | LOST |
| O/U 44.5 · Over | LOST |
| Chiefs Parlay - Chiefs win, Mahomes 225+ passing yards, Kelce 40+ receiving yards | LOST |
| O/U 43.5 · Over | LOST |
| 1H O/U 22.5 · Over | LOST |
| Broncos O/U 20.5 · Under | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 16.5 · Under | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 14.5 · Under | LOST |
| Broncos O/U 10.5 · Under | LOST |
| Broncos O/U 13.5 · Under | LOST |
| Broncos O/U 17.5 · Under | LOST |
| Broncos O/U 14.5 · Under | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 13.5 · Under | LOST |
| Broncos O/U 18.5 · Under | LOST |
| 1H Spread -2.5 · Chiefs | LOST |
| Broncos O/U 28.5 · Over | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 22.5 · Over | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 23.5 · Over | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 20.5 · Over | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 21.5 · Over | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 24.5 · Over | LOST |
| 1H O/U 23.5 · Over | LOST |
| Chiefs O/U 26.5 · Over | LOST |
Price history to resolution
BroncosSpread -3.5 · BroncosO/U 45.5 · UnderSpread -4.5 · Broncos
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 34% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 16 at 4:25PM ET: If Kansas City Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If Denver Broncos wins, the market will resolve to “Broncos”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Chiefs vs. Broncos" resolve?
- It resolved Broncos around November 16, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 33.5% one day before close, 34.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $2.5M across 27 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.