How did "Chiefs vs. Cowboys" resolve?

It resolved Cowboys around November 27, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 37.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Chiefs vs. Cowboys: result and scorecard

Name: Chiefs vs. Cowboys prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Cowboys. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 37.5%; a week before, –. $11.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:50 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Cowboys

resolved November 28, 2025

Price 1 day before

37.5%

Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$11.3M

43 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games Thanksgiving

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Cowboys	WON	$7.2M
Spread -3.5 · Cowboys	WON	$3.2M
O/U 52.5 · Over	WON	$780K
O/U 53.5 · Over	WON	$56K
O/U 51.5 · Over	WON	$24K
1H Moneyline · Cowboys	WON	$4K
Spread -7.5 · Cowboys	WON	$3K
1H O/U 26.5 · Over	WON	$3K
Spread -6.5 · Cowboys	WON	$1K
1H O/U 27.5 · Over	WON	$783
1H Spread -2.5 · Cowboys	WON	$563
Spread -4.5 · Cowboys	WON	$513
Spread -5.5 · Cowboys	WON	$486
Cowboys O/U 24.5 · Over	WON	$473
O/U 55.5 · Over	WON	$462
Chiefs O/U 24.5 · Over	WON	$285
Cowboys O/U 14.5 · Over	WON	$235
1H Spread -1.5 · Cowboys	WON	$205
O/U 62.5 · Under	WON	$161
O/U 57.5 · Over	WON	$150
O/U 61.5 · Under	WON	$128
O/U 58.5 · Over	WON	$120
Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	WON	$69
Spread -6.5 · Chiefs	WON	$69
O/U 60.5 · Under	WON	$43
O/U 63.5 · Under	WON	$43
O/U 54.5 · Over	WON	$43
O/U 50.5 · Over	WON	$43
O/U 59.5 · Under	WON	$43
Chiefs O/U 27.5 · Over	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 20.5 · Over	WON	$35
Cowboys O/U 33.5 · Under	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 35.5 · Under	WON	$35
Cowboys O/U 20.5 · Over	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 28.5 · Under	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 30.5 · Under	WON	$35
Cowboys O/U 16.5 · Over	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 19.5 · Over	WON	$35
Spread -2.5 · Cowboys	WON	$23
Spread -1.5 · Cowboys	WON	$23
Spread -1.5 · Cowboys	WON	$23
Spread -2.5 · Cowboys	WON	$23
Spread -7.5 · Chiefs	WON	$23
Chiefs	LOST	$7.2M
Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$3.2M
O/U 52.5 · Under	LOST	$780K
O/U 53.5 · Under	LOST	$56K
O/U 51.5 · Under	LOST	$24K
1H Moneyline · Chiefs	LOST	$4K
Spread -7.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$3K
1H O/U 26.5 · Under	LOST	$3K
Spread -6.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$1K
1H O/U 27.5 · Under	LOST	$783
1H Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$563
Spread -4.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$513
Spread -5.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$486
Cowboys O/U 24.5 · Under	LOST	$473
O/U 55.5 · Under	LOST	$462
Chiefs O/U 24.5 · Under	LOST	$285
Cowboys O/U 14.5 · Under	LOST	$235
1H Spread -1.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$205
O/U 62.5 · Over	LOST	$161
O/U 57.5 · Under	LOST	$150
O/U 61.5 · Over	LOST	$128
O/U 58.5 · Under	LOST	$120
Spread -3.5 · Cowboys	LOST	$69
Spread -6.5 · Cowboys	LOST	$69
O/U 60.5 · Over	LOST	$43
O/U 63.5 · Over	LOST	$43
O/U 54.5 · Under	LOST	$43
O/U 50.5 · Under	LOST	$43
O/U 59.5 · Over	LOST	$43
Chiefs O/U 27.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 20.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Cowboys O/U 33.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 35.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Cowboys O/U 20.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 28.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 30.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Cowboys O/U 16.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 19.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$23
Spread -1.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$23
Spread -1.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$23
Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$23
Spread -7.5 · Cowboys	LOST	$23

Price history to resolution

CowboysSpread -3.5 · CowboysO/U 52.5 · Over

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 38% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 27 at 4:30PM ET: If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Chiefs vs. Cowboys" resolve?: It resolved Cowboys around November 27, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 37.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $11.3M across 43 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.