How did "Colts vs. Chiefs" resolve?

It resolved Chiefs around September 21, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.5% one day before close, 71.0% one week before and 62.5% one month before.

Home / Markets / Colts vs. Chiefs

Resolved market scorecard

Colts vs. Chiefs: result and scorecard

Name: Colts vs. Chiefs prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Chiefs. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 71.5%; a week before, 71.0%. $15.5M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:52 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Chiefs

resolved September 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

71.5%

Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

71.0%

30 days before: 62.5%

Volume

$15.5M

60 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Chiefs	WON	$8.1M
Spread -5.5 · IND	WON	$2.3M
Spread -6.5 · Colts	WON	$2.1M
O/U 46.5 · Over	WON	$503K
Spread -7.5 · Colts	WON	$452K
O/U 45.5 · Over	WON	$321K
Spread -3.5 · Colts	WON	$297K
O/U 57.5 · Over	WON	$247K
Spread -4.5 · Colts	WON	$193K
O/U 48.5 · Over	WON	$171K
1H Moneyline · Colts	WON	$150K
O/U 47.5 · Over	WON	$132K
Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 · Under	WON	$120K
O/U 44.5 · Over	WON	$102K
O/U 50.5 · Over	WON	$82K
O/U 63.5 · Under	WON	$64K
O/U 43.5 · Over	WON	$56K
Spread -10.5 · Colts	WON	$32K
O/U 51.5 · Over	WON	$22K
O/U 49.5 · Over	WON	$22K
O/U 59.5 · Over	WON	$19K
O/U 65.5 · Under	WON	$15K
O/U 55.5 · Over	WON	$12K
O/U 53.5 · Over	WON	$11K
O/U 61.5 · Over	WON	$5K
1Q Moneyline · Chiefs	WON	$3K
O/U 41.5 · Over	WON	$2K
O/U 27.5 · Over	WON	$1K
O/U 67.5 · Under	WON	$1K
O/U 39.5 · Over	WON	$618
4Q Moneyline · Colts	WON	$307
2Q Moneyline · Colts	WON	$282
3Q Moneyline · Chiefs	WON	$239
2H Moneyline · Chiefs	WON	$170
O/U 33.5 · Over	WON	$121
O/U 37.5 · Over	WON	$112
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-6	WON	$50
Colts Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 · Over	WON	$50
O/U 29.5 · Over	WON	$35
O/U 31.5 · Over	WON	$0
O/U 35.5 · Over	WON	$0
Team to Record Longest FG · Colts	WON	$0
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q	WON	$0
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q	WON	$0
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q	WON	$0
Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 · Over	WON	$0
Colts vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$0
Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 · Under	WON	$0
Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 · Over	WON	$0
Colts	LOST	$8.1M
Spread -5.5 · KC	LOST	$2.3M
Spread -6.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$2.1M
O/U 46.5 · Under	LOST	$503K
Spread -7.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$452K
O/U 45.5 · Under	LOST	$321K
Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$297K
O/U 57.5 · Under	LOST	$247K
Spread -4.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$193K
O/U 48.5 · Under	LOST	$171K
1H Moneyline · Chiefs	LOST	$150K
O/U 47.5 · Under	LOST	$132K
Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 · Over	LOST	$120K
O/U 44.5 · Under	LOST	$102K
O/U 50.5 · Under	LOST	$82K
O/U 63.5 · Over	LOST	$64K
O/U 43.5 · Under	LOST	$56K
Spread -10.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$32K
O/U 51.5 · Under	LOST	$22K
O/U 49.5 · Under	LOST	$22K
O/U 59.5 · Under	LOST	$19K
O/U 65.5 · Over	LOST	$15K
O/U 55.5 · Under	LOST	$12K
O/U 53.5 · Under	LOST	$11K
O/U 61.5 · Under	LOST	$5K
1Q Moneyline · Colts	LOST	$3K
O/U 41.5 · Under	LOST	$2K
O/U 27.5 · Under	LOST	$1K
O/U 67.5 · Over	LOST	$1K
O/U 39.5 · Under	LOST	$618
4Q Moneyline · Chiefs	LOST	$307
2Q Moneyline · Chiefs	LOST	$282
3Q Moneyline · Colts	LOST	$239
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-13	LOST	$225
2H Moneyline · Colts	LOST	$170
O/U 33.5 · Under	LOST	$121
Exact Margin: Colts by 1-6	LOST	$115
O/U 37.5 · Under	LOST	$112
Exact Margin: Tie	LOST	$50
Colts Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 · Under	LOST	$50
Exact Margin: Colts by 25+	LOST	$50
Exact Margin: Colts by 19-24	LOST	$50
Exact Margin: Colts by 13-18	LOST	$50
Exact Margin: Colts by 7-12	LOST	$50
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 14-20	LOST	$50
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 21+	LOST	$50
O/U 29.5 · Under	LOST	$35
O/U 31.5 · Under	LOST	$0
O/U 35.5 · Under	LOST	$0
Safety?	LOST	$0
Team to Record Longest FG · Chiefs	LOST	$0
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q	LOST	$0
Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 · Under	LOST	$0
Colts vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$0
Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 · Over	LOST	$0
Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 · Under	LOST	$0

Price history to resolution

ChiefsSpread -5.5 · INDSpread -6.5 · ColtsO/U 46.5 · Over

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 72% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 8:20PM ET: If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Colts vs. Chiefs" resolve?: It resolved Chiefs around September 21, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.5% one day before close, 71.0% one week before and 62.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $15.5M across 60 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.