How did "Texans vs. Chiefs" resolve?

It resolved Texans around December 8, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 35.5% one day before close, 34.0% one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Texans vs. Chiefs

Resolved market scorecard

Texans vs. Chiefs: result and scorecard

Name: Texans vs. Chiefs prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Texans. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 35.5%; a week before, 34.0%. $9.0M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Texans

resolved December 8, 2025

Price 1 day before

35.5%

Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

34.0%

30 days before: –

Volume

$9.0M

98 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Texans	WON	$5.4M
Spread -3.5 · Texans	WON	$2.2M
Spread -4.5 · Texans	WON	$529K
Spread -5.5 · Texans	WON	$404K
O/U 42.5 · Under	WON	$194K
O/U 41.5 · Under	WON	$134K
Spread -6.5 · Texans	WON	$122K
1H O/U 20.5 · Under	WON	$12K
Spread -2.5 · Texans	WON	$8K
O/U 43.5 · Under	WON	$3K
1H O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$3K
O/U 30.5 · Under	WON	$3K
1H Moneyline · Texans	WON	$2K
O/U 33.5 · Under	WON	$2K
O/U 36.5 · Under	WON	$2K
O/U 29.5 · Over	WON	$838
1H Spread -1.5 · Texans	WON	$494
Spread -3.5 · Texans	WON	$444
Chiefs O/U 23.5 · Under	WON	$225
Spread -7.5 · Texans	WON	$197
Woody Marks: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$116
1H O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$112
O/U 35.5 · Under	WON	$105
O/U 27.5 · Over	WON	$105
Texans O/U 13.5 · Over	WON	$92
O/U 32.5 · Under	WON	$73
Chiefs O/U 13.5 · Under	WON	$53
O/U 40.5 · Under	WON	$53
O/U 39.5 · Under	WON	$53
O/U 37.5 · Under	WON	$53
O/U 34.5 · Under	WON	$53
O/U 31.5 · Under	WON	$53
Chiefs O/U 19.5 · Under	WON	$37
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 23.5 · Over	WON	$37
Texans O/U 18.5 · Over	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$35
Texans O/U 12.5 · Over	WON	$35
Texans O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$35
Texans O/U 10.5 · Over	WON	$35
Texans O/U 15.5 · Over	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 12.5 · Under	WON	$35
Texans O/U 28.5 · Under	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 17.5 · Under	WON	$35
Texans O/U 26.5 · Under	WON	$35
Chiefs O/U 20.5 · Under	WON	$35
Texans O/U 16.5 · Over	WON	$35
Texans O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$35
Kareem Hunt: Rushing Yards O/U 32.5 · Under	WON	$35
Woody Marks: Rushing Yards O/U 48.5 · Over	WON	$35
Nick Chubb: Rushing Yards O/U 17.5 · Under	WON	$35
C.J. Stroud: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5 · Under	WON	$35
Isiah Pacheco: Rushing Yards O/U 28.5 · Over	WON	$35
Xavier Worthy: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 · Under	WON	$35
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 · Under	WON	$35
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 48.5 · Under	WON	$35
Marquise Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 15.5 · Over	WON	$35
Nico Collins: Receiving Yards O/U 70.5 · Over	WON	$35
Dalton Schultz: Receiving Yards O/U 38.5 · Under	WON	$35
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Over	WON	$35
Jayden Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Under	WON	$35
Texans O/U 9.5 · Over	WON	$35
Texans O/U 19.5 · Over	WON	$35
Spread -1.5 · Texans	WON	$27
Spread -1.5 · Texans	WON	$27
Spread -2.5 · Texans	WON	$27
Spread -5.5 · Texans	WON	$27
Spread -6.5 · Texans	WON	$27
Spread -4.5 · Texans	WON	$27
1H Spread -3.5 · Texans	WON	$12
First Touchdown: Xavier Worthy · No Touchdown	WON	$3
First Touchdown: Jayden Higgins · No Touchdown	WON	$2
1H Spread -2.5 · Texans	WON	$0
Kareem Hunt: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Rashee Rice · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Nico Collins · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Woody Marks · Woody Marks	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Kareem Hunt · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Travis Kelce · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Dalton Schultz · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Isiah Pacheco · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Nick Chubb · No Touchdown	WON	$0
Spread -9.5 · Texans	WON	$0
Chiefs	LOST	$5.4M
Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$2.2M
Spread -4.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$529K
Spread -5.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$404K
O/U 42.5 · Over	LOST	$194K
O/U 41.5 · Over	LOST	$134K
Spread -6.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$122K
1H O/U 20.5 · Over	LOST	$12K
Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$8K
O/U 43.5 · Over	LOST	$3K
1H O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$3K
O/U 30.5 · Over	LOST	$3K
1H Moneyline · Chiefs	LOST	$2K
O/U 33.5 · Over	LOST	$2K
O/U 36.5 · Over	LOST	$2K
O/U 29.5 · Under	LOST	$838
1H Spread -1.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$494
Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$444
Chiefs O/U 23.5 · Over	LOST	$225
Spread -7.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$197
1H O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$112
O/U 35.5 · Over	LOST	$105
O/U 27.5 · Under	LOST	$105
Texans O/U 13.5 · Under	LOST	$92
O/U 32.5 · Over	LOST	$73
Chiefs O/U 13.5 · Over	LOST	$53
O/U 40.5 · Over	LOST	$53
O/U 39.5 · Over	LOST	$53
O/U 37.5 · Over	LOST	$53
O/U 34.5 · Over	LOST	$53
O/U 31.5 · Over	LOST	$53
Chiefs O/U 19.5 · Over	LOST	$37
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 23.5 · Under	LOST	$37
Texans O/U 18.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 12.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 10.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 15.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 12.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 28.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 17.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 26.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Chiefs O/U 20.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 16.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Kareem Hunt: Rushing Yards O/U 32.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Woody Marks: Rushing Yards O/U 48.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Nick Chubb: Rushing Yards O/U 17.5 · Over	LOST	$35
C.J. Stroud: Rushing Yards O/U 13.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Isiah Pacheco: Rushing Yards O/U 28.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Xavier Worthy: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 48.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Marquise Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 15.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Nico Collins: Receiving Yards O/U 70.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Dalton Schultz: Receiving Yards O/U 38.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Jayden Higgins: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 9.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Texans O/U 19.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Spread -1.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$27
Spread -1.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$27
Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$27
Spread -5.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$27
Spread -6.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$27
Spread -4.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$27
1H Spread -3.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$12
Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$5
First Touchdown: Xavier Worthy · Xavier Worthy	LOST	$3
First Touchdown: Jayden Higgins · Jayden Higgins	LOST	$2
Isiah Pacheco 2+ TD	LOST	$2
1H Spread -2.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$0
Nico Collins: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Dalton Schultz: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Jayden Higgins: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Isiah Pacheco: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Nick Chubb: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Rashee Rice · Rashee Rice	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Nico Collins · Nico Collins	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Woody Marks · No Touchdown	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Kareem Hunt · Kareem Hunt	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Travis Kelce · Travis Kelce	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Dalton Schultz · Dalton Schultz	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Isiah Pacheco · Isiah Pacheco	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Nick Chubb · Nick Chubb	LOST	$0
Rashee Rice 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Kareem Hunt 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Nico Collins 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Woody Marks 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Travis Kelce 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Xavier Worthy 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Dalton Schultz 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Spread -9.5 · Chiefs	LOST	$0

Price history to resolution

TexansSpread -3.5 · TexansSpread -4.5 · TexansSpread -5.5 · Texans

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 36% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 7 at 8:20PM ET: If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Texans vs. Chiefs" resolve?: It resolved Texans around December 8, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 35.5% one day before close, 34.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $9.0M across 98 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.