How did "Packers vs. Bears" resolve?

It resolved Bears around January 11, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 46.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Packers vs. Bears

Resolved market scorecard

Packers vs. Bears: result and scorecard

Name: Packers vs. Bears prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Bears. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 46.5%; a week before, –. $11.6M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Bears

resolved January 11, 2026

Price 1 day before

46.5%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$11.6M

58 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Bears	WON	$9.2M
Spread -1.5 · Bears	WON	$1.4M
O/U 45.5 · Over	WON	$280K
O/U 44.5 · Over	WON	$264K
Spread -2.5 · Bears	WON	$173K
O/U 47.5 · Over	WON	$66K
O/U 46.5 · Over	WON	$60K
Spread -3.5 · Bears	WON	$59K
Spread -4.5 · Bears	WON	$41K
Spread -3.5 · Bears	WON	$33K
O/U 49.5 · Over	WON	$30K
1H Moneyline · Packers	WON	$27K
Spread -2.5 · Bears	WON	$12K
O/U 50.5 · Over	WON	$12K
1H O/U 23.5 · Over	WON	$8K
O/U 42.5 · Over	WON	$6K
Spread -4.5 · Packers	WON	$5K
Spread -1.5 · Bears	WON	$2K
Bears O/U 23.5 · Over	WON	$502
1H Spread -0.5 · Packers	WON	$434
Packers O/U 23.5 · Over	WON	$416
Packers O/U 24.5 · Over	WON	$65
Romeo Doubs: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$55
Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 41.5 · Over	WON	$40
Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 4.5 · Over	WON	$40
Jordan Love: Rushing Yards O/U 12.5 · Under	WON	$38
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 61.5 · Under	WON	$35
Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$35
Josh Jacobs: Rushing Yards O/U 70.5 · Under	WON	$35
Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 46.5 · Under	WON	$35
Emanuel Wilson: Rushing Yards O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$35
Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 52.5 · Under	WON	$35
Josh Jacobs: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 · Under	WON	$35
Romeo Doubs: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$35
Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 13.5 · Under	WON	$35
Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 6.5 · Over	WON	$35
Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 38.5 · Over	WON	$35
DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 26.5 · Over	WON	$35
D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 13.5 · Over	WON	$35
First Touchdown: Luther Burden III · No Touchdown	WON	$5
First Touchdown: Jayden Reed · No Touchdown	WON	$5
First Touchdown: Rome Odunze · No Touchdown	WON	$5
First Touchdown: Emanuel Wilson · No Touchdown	WON	$5
D'Andre Swift: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$0
Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$0
Jayden Reed: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Josh Jacobs · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: D'Andre Swift · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Christian Watson · Christian Watson	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Colston Loveland · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Romeo Doubs · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Kyle Monangai · No Touchdown	WON	$0
Packers	LOST	$9.2M
Spread -1.5 · Packers	LOST	$1.4M
O/U 45.5 · Under	LOST	$280K
O/U 44.5 · Under	LOST	$264K
Spread -2.5 · Packers	LOST	$173K
O/U 47.5 · Under	LOST	$66K
O/U 46.5 · Under	LOST	$60K
Spread -3.5 · Packers	LOST	$59K
Spread -4.5 · Packers	LOST	$41K
Spread -3.5 · Packers	LOST	$33K
O/U 49.5 · Under	LOST	$30K
1H Moneyline · Bears	LOST	$27K
Spread -2.5 · Packers	LOST	$12K
O/U 50.5 · Under	LOST	$12K
1H O/U 23.5 · Under	LOST	$8K
O/U 42.5 · Under	LOST	$6K
Spread -4.5 · Bears	LOST	$5K
Spread -1.5 · Packers	LOST	$2K
Bears O/U 23.5 · Under	LOST	$502
1H Spread -0.5 · Bears	LOST	$434
Packers O/U 23.5 · Under	LOST	$416
Packers O/U 24.5 · Under	LOST	$65
Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 41.5 · Under	LOST	$40
Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 4.5 · Under	LOST	$40
Jordan Love: Rushing Yards O/U 12.5 · Over	LOST	$38
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 61.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Josh Jacobs: Rushing Yards O/U 70.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 46.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Emanuel Wilson: Rushing Yards O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 52.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Josh Jacobs: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Romeo Doubs: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 13.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 6.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 38.5 · Under	LOST	$35
DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 26.5 · Under	LOST	$35
D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 13.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Josh Jacobs: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$5
Colston Loveland: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$5
First Touchdown: Luther Burden III · Luther Burden III	LOST	$5
First Touchdown: Jayden Reed · Jayden Reed	LOST	$5
First Touchdown: Rome Odunze · Rome Odunze	LOST	$5
First Touchdown: Emanuel Wilson · Emanuel Wilson	LOST	$5
Kyle Monangai: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Rome Odunze: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Luther Burden III: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
Emanuel Wilson: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Josh Jacobs · Josh Jacobs	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: D'Andre Swift · D'Andre Swift	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Christian Watson · No Touchdown	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Colston Loveland · Colston Loveland	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Romeo Doubs · Romeo Doubs	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Kyle Monangai · Kyle Monangai	LOST	$0

Price history to resolution

BearsSpread -1.5 · BearsO/U 45.5 · OverO/U 44.5 · Over

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 47% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 10 at 8:00PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Packers vs. Bears" resolve?: It resolved Bears around January 11, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 46.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $11.6M across 58 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Jaguars vs. Ravens Heat vs. Warriors Magic vs. Suns UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Blues vs. Devils Worlds 2026: Winner Bruins vs. Penguins All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.