How did "Packers vs. Bears" resolve?

It resolved Bears around December 20, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 53.5% one day before close, 41.0% one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Packers vs. Bears: result and scorecard

Name: Packers vs. Bears prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Bears. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 53.5%; a week before, 41.0%. $6.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Bears

resolved December 21, 2025

Price 1 day before

53.5%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

41.0%

30 days before: –

Volume

$6.7M

67 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Bears	WON	$6.3M
Spread -1.5 · Bears	WON	$102K
O/U 45.5 · Under	WON	$82K
O/U 46.5 · Under	WON	$81K
Spread -3.5 · Bears	WON	$18K
Spread -1.5 · Bears	WON	$15K
Spread -2.5 · Bears	WON	$12K
1H Moneyline · Packers	WON	$4K
First Touchdown: Josh Jacobs · No Touchdown	WON	$1K
1H Spread -1.5 · Packers	WON	$1K
Bears O/U 13.5 · Over	WON	$730
Packers O/U 13.5 · Over	WON	$730
Packers O/U 12.5 · Over	WON	$715
Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 27.5 · Over	WON	$676
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 52.5 · Over	WON	$676
Packers O/U 24.5 · Under	WON	$600
Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 43.5 · Under	WON	$530
Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$530
Bears O/U 30.5 · Under	WON	$530
Packers O/U 20.5 · Under	WON	$530
Bears O/U 14.5 · Over	WON	$215
Bears O/U 15.5 · Over	WON	$215
Packers O/U 14.5 · Over	WON	$215
1H Spread -0.5 · Packers	WON	$178
DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$161
Romeo Doubs: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$161
Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 17.5 · Over	WON	$161
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 · Over	WON	$161
Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 42.5 · Over	WON	$161
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 51.5 · Over	WON	$161
DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5 · Over	WON	$161
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5 · Over	WON	$161
O/U 44.5 · Under	WON	$105
1H O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$65
Bears O/U 23.5 · Under	WON	$57
1H O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$53
Bears O/U 32.5 · Under	WON	$43
First Touchdown: Romeo Doubs · Romeo Doubs	WON	$36
1H O/U 23.5 · Under	WON	$34
Bears O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$15
Packers O/U 23.5 · Under	WON	$15
First Touchdown: D.J. Moore · No Touchdown	WON	$15
First Touchdown: D'Andre Swift · No Touchdown	WON	$15
First Touchdown: Kyle Monangai · No Touchdown	WON	$15
First Touchdown: Colston Loveland · No Touchdown	WON	$15
First Touchdown: Jayden Reed · No Touchdown	WON	$15
First Touchdown: Olamide Zaccheaus · No Touchdown	WON	$15
First Touchdown: Emanuel Wilson · No Touchdown	WON	$15
First Touchdown: Durham Smythe · No Touchdown	WON	$15
Josh Jacobs: Rushing Yards O/U 66.5 · Under	WON	$15
Jordan Love: Rushing Yards O/U 8.5 · Under	WON	$15
D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 · Under	WON	$15
Packers O/U 17.5 · Under	WON	$15
Packers O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$15
Romeo Doubs: Receiving Yards O/U 32.5 · Over	WON	$15
Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 7.5 · Over	WON	$15
Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 16.5 · Under	WON	$15
Devin Duvernay: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 · Under	WON	$15
Packers	LOST	$6.3M
Spread -1.5 · Packers	LOST	$102K
O/U 45.5 · Over	LOST	$82K
O/U 46.5 · Over	LOST	$81K
Spread -3.5 · Packers	LOST	$18K
Spread -1.5 · Packers	LOST	$15K
Spread -2.5 · Packers	LOST	$12K
1H Moneyline · Bears	LOST	$4K
Emanuel Wilson: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$1K
First Touchdown: Josh Jacobs · Josh Jacobs	LOST	$1K
1H Spread -1.5 · Bears	LOST	$1K
Bears O/U 13.5 · Under	LOST	$730
Packers O/U 13.5 · Under	LOST	$730
Packers O/U 12.5 · Under	LOST	$715
Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 27.5 · Under	LOST	$676
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 52.5 · Under	LOST	$676
Packers O/U 24.5 · Over	LOST	$600
Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 43.5 · Over	LOST	$530
Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$530
Bears O/U 30.5 · Over	LOST	$530
Packers O/U 20.5 · Over	LOST	$530
Bears O/U 14.5 · Under	LOST	$215
Bears O/U 15.5 · Under	LOST	$215
Packers O/U 14.5 · Under	LOST	$215
1H Spread -0.5 · Bears	LOST	$178
Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 17.5 · Under	LOST	$161
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 · Under	LOST	$161
Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 42.5 · Under	LOST	$161
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 51.5 · Under	LOST	$161
DJ Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5 · Under	LOST	$161
D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5 · Under	LOST	$161
O/U 44.5 · Over	LOST	$105
1H O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$65
Bears O/U 23.5 · Over	LOST	$57
1H O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$53
Bears O/U 32.5 · Over	LOST	$43
First Touchdown: Romeo Doubs · No Touchdown	LOST	$36
1H O/U 23.5 · Over	LOST	$34
Josh Jacobs: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$26
Bears O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Packers O/U 23.5 · Over	LOST	$15
D'Andre Swift: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$15
Kyle Monangai: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$15
Jayden Reed: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$15
Colston Loveland: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$15
Olamide Zaccheaus: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$15
Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$15
First Touchdown: D.J. Moore · D.J. Moore	LOST	$15
First Touchdown: D'Andre Swift · D'Andre Swift	LOST	$15
First Touchdown: Kyle Monangai · Kyle Monangai	LOST	$15
First Touchdown: Colston Loveland · Colston Loveland	LOST	$15
First Touchdown: Jayden Reed · Jayden Reed	LOST	$15
First Touchdown: Olamide Zaccheaus · Olamide Zaccheaus	LOST	$15
First Touchdown: Emanuel Wilson · Emanuel Wilson	LOST	$15
First Touchdown: Durham Smythe · Durham Smythe	LOST	$15
Josh Jacobs: Rushing Yards O/U 66.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Jordan Love: Rushing Yards O/U 8.5 · Over	LOST	$15
D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Packers O/U 17.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Packers O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Romeo Doubs: Receiving Yards O/U 32.5 · Under	LOST	$15
Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 7.5 · Under	LOST	$15
Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 16.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Devin Duvernay: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 · Over	LOST	$15
Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 · Over	OPEN	$0
Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 · Under	OPEN	$0

Price history to resolution

BearsSpread -1.5 · BearsO/U 45.5 · UnderO/U 46.5 · Under

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 54% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 20 at 3:20PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Packers vs. Bears" resolve?: It resolved Bears around December 20, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 53.5% one day before close, 41.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $6.7M across 67 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.