How did "Bills vs. Steelers" resolve?

It resolved Bills around November 30, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 61.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Bills vs. Steelers: result and scorecard

Name: Bills vs. Steelers prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Bills. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 61.5%; a week before, –. $5.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Bills

resolved December 1, 2025

Price 1 day before

61.5%

Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$5.3M

95 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Bills	WON	$4.6M
Spread -3.5 · Bills	WON	$431K
O/U 45.5 · Under	WON	$177K
O/U 44.5 · Under	WON	$43K
O/U 47.5 · Under	WON	$7K
O/U 46.5 · Under	WON	$3K
1H Moneyline · Steelers	WON	$1K
1H Spread -2.5 · Steelers	WON	$747
Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$429
Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 8.5 · Over	WON	$367
Bills O/U 16.5 · Over	WON	$235
Bills O/U 22.5 · Over	WON	$235
Bills O/U 25.5 · Over	WON	$235
Bills O/U 24.5 · Over	WON	$235
Bills O/U 20.5 · Over	WON	$235
Jaylen Warren: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$213
Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 · Over	WON	$200
Kenneth Gainwell: Receiving Yards O/U 17.5 · Over	WON	$200
James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 82.5 · Over	WON	$193
First Touchdown: Jaylen Warren · Jaylen Warren	WON	$152
1H O/U 23.5 · Under	WON	$143
Kenneth Gainwell: Rushing Yards O/U 28.5 · Under	WON	$117
DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5 · Under	WON	$117
Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 · Under	WON	$117
Jonnu Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 16.5 · Under	WON	$117
Calvin Austin III: Receiving Yards O/U 27.5 · Under	WON	$117
Aaron Rodgers: Rushing Yards O/U 203.5 · Under	WON	$109
O/U 37.5 · Under	WON	$101
James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 13.5 · Over	WON	$100
Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 16.5 · Over	WON	$84
O/U 36.5 · Under	WON	$81
O/U 30.5 · Over	WON	$76
O/U 43.5 · Under	WON	$61
O/U 42.5 · Under	WON	$61
O/U 41.5 · Under	WON	$61
O/U 40.5 · Under	WON	$61
O/U 39.5 · Under	WON	$61
O/U 35.5 · Under	WON	$61
O/U 34.5 · Under	WON	$61
O/U 33.5 · Under	WON	$61
O/U 38.5 · Under	WON	$61
Bills O/U 27.5 · Under	WON	$55
Steelers O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$49
Bills O/U 26.5 · Under	WON	$49
1H O/U 24.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 11.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 12.5 · Under	WON	$49
Bills O/U 35.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 15.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 20.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 18.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 24.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 13.5 · Under	WON	$49
1H O/U 22.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 16.5 · Under	WON	$49
Steelers O/U 10.5 · Under	WON	$49
Spread -1.5 · Bills	WON	$47
O/U 32.5 · Over	WON	$47
O/U 31.5 · Over	WON	$47
Spread -1.5 · Bills	WON	$41
Spread -2.5 · Bills	WON	$41
Spread -3.5 · Bills	WON	$41
Bills O/U 18.5 · Over	WON	$35
Bills O/U 19.5 · Over	WON	$35
Bills O/U 14.5 · Over	WON	$35
Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 60.5 · Under	WON	$35
Bills O/U 21.5 · Over	WON	$35
First Touchdown: James Cook · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Josh Allen · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: DK Metcalf · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Khalil Shakir · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Dalton Kincaid · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Kenneth Gainwell · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Calvin Austin III · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Dawson Knox · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Darnell Washington · No Touchdown	WON	$33
Spread -2.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -6.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -7.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -9.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -10.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -11.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -12.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -15.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -16.5 · Bills	WON	$27
Spread -13.5 · Bills	WON	$15
Spread -18.5 · Bills	WON	$12
Steelers	LOST	$4.6M
Spread -3.5 · Steelers	LOST	$431K
O/U 45.5 · Over	LOST	$177K
O/U 44.5 · Over	LOST	$43K
O/U 47.5 · Over	LOST	$7K
O/U 46.5 · Over	LOST	$3K
1H Moneyline · Bills	LOST	$1K
1H Spread -2.5 · Bills	LOST	$747
Jaylen Warren: Receiving Yards O/U 8.5 · Under	LOST	$367
Bills O/U 16.5 · Under	LOST	$235
Bills O/U 22.5 · Under	LOST	$235
Bills O/U 25.5 · Under	LOST	$235
Bills O/U 24.5 · Under	LOST	$235
Bills O/U 20.5 · Under	LOST	$235
Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 · Under	LOST	$200
Kenneth Gainwell: Receiving Yards O/U 17.5 · Under	LOST	$200
James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 82.5 · Under	LOST	$193
First Touchdown: Jaylen Warren · No Touchdown	LOST	$152
1H O/U 23.5 · Over	LOST	$143
Kenneth Gainwell: Rushing Yards O/U 28.5 · Over	LOST	$117
DK Metcalf: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5 · Over	LOST	$117
Pat Freiermuth: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 · Over	LOST	$117
Jonnu Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 16.5 · Over	LOST	$117
Calvin Austin III: Receiving Yards O/U 27.5 · Over	LOST	$117
Aaron Rodgers: Rushing Yards O/U 203.5 · Over	LOST	$109
O/U 37.5 · Over	LOST	$101
James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 13.5 · Under	LOST	$100
Darnell Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 16.5 · Under	LOST	$84
O/U 36.5 · Over	LOST	$81
O/U 30.5 · Under	LOST	$76
O/U 43.5 · Over	LOST	$61
O/U 42.5 · Over	LOST	$61
O/U 41.5 · Over	LOST	$61
O/U 40.5 · Over	LOST	$61
O/U 39.5 · Over	LOST	$61
O/U 35.5 · Over	LOST	$61
O/U 34.5 · Over	LOST	$61
O/U 33.5 · Over	LOST	$61
O/U 38.5 · Over	LOST	$61
Bills O/U 27.5 · Over	LOST	$55
Steelers O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Bills O/U 26.5 · Over	LOST	$49
1H O/U 24.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 11.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 12.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Bills O/U 35.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 15.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 20.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 18.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 24.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 13.5 · Over	LOST	$49
1H O/U 22.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 16.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Steelers O/U 10.5 · Over	LOST	$49
Spread -1.5 · Steelers	LOST	$47
O/U 32.5 · Under	LOST	$47
O/U 31.5 · Under	LOST	$47
Spread -1.5 · Steelers	LOST	$41
Spread -2.5 · Steelers	LOST	$41
Spread -3.5 · Steelers	LOST	$41
Bills O/U 18.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Bills O/U 19.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Bills O/U 14.5 · Under	LOST	$35
Jaylen Warren: Rushing Yards O/U 60.5 · Over	LOST	$35
Bills O/U 21.5 · Under	LOST	$35
James Cook: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Khalil Shakir: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
DK Metcalf: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Kenneth Gainwell: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Calvin Austin III: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Dawson Knox: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Darnell Washington: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: James Cook · James Cook	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Josh Allen · Josh Allen	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: DK Metcalf · DK Metcalf	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Khalil Shakir · Khalil Shakir	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Dalton Kincaid · Dalton Kincaid	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Kenneth Gainwell · Kenneth Gainwell	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Calvin Austin III · Calvin Austin III	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Dawson Knox · Dawson Knox	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Darnell Washington · Darnell Washington	LOST	$33
Spread -2.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -6.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -7.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -9.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -10.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -11.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -12.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -15.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -16.5 · Steelers	LOST	$27
Spread -13.5 · Steelers	LOST	$15
Spread -18.5 · Steelers	LOST	$12

Price history to resolution

BillsSpread -3.5 · BillsO/U 45.5 · Under

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 62% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 30 at 4:25PM ET: If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Bills vs. Steelers" resolve?: It resolved Bills around November 30, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 61.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $5.3M across 95 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.