How did "Bills vs. Patriots" resolve?

It resolved Bills around December 14, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 52.5% one day before close, 48.0% one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Bills vs. Patriots

Resolved market scorecard

Bills vs. Patriots: result and scorecard

Name: Bills vs. Patriots prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Bills. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 52.5%; a week before, 48.0%. $5.6M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Bills

resolved December 14, 2025

Price 1 day before

52.5%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

48.0%

30 days before: –

Volume

$5.6M

101 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Bills	WON	$5.2M
Spread -1.5 · Bills	WON	$112K
O/U 48.5 · Over	WON	$111K
Spread -2.5 · Bills	WON	$48K
Spread -4.5 · Patriots	WON	$30K
O/U 49.5 · Over	WON	$15K
O/U 47.5 · Over	WON	$8K
Spread -1.5 · Bills	WON	$7K
Spread -3.5 · Bills	WON	$6K
Spread -2.5 · Bills	WON	$2K
O/U 50.5 · Over	WON	$2K
1H Moneyline · Patriots	WON	$1K
O/U 46.5 · Over	WON	$1K
O/U 58.5 · Over	WON	$942
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$479
TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 · Over	WON	$479
Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5 · Over	WON	$402
Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 40.5 · Over	WON	$401
Dawson Knox: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5 · Over	WON	$401
Spread -6.5 · Bills	WON	$319
1H O/U 24.5 · Over	WON	$259
Stefon Diggs: Receiving Yards O/U 47.5 · Under	WON	$256
Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 41.5 · Under	WON	$256
1H O/U 23.5 · Over	WON	$255
James Cook 2+ TD	WON	$248
TreVeyon Henderson 2+ TD	WON	$235
1H Spread -1.5 · Patriots	WON	$227
Bills O/U 26.5 · Over	WON	$225
Patriots O/U 25.5 · Over	WON	$225
Bills O/U 24.5 · Over	WON	$220
Bills O/U 20.5 · Over	WON	$220
Patriots O/U 13.5 · Over	WON	$215
Bills O/U 32.5 · Over	WON	$215
Patriots O/U 26.5 · Over	WON	$215
Bills O/U 22.5 · Over	WON	$215
Patriots O/U 14.5 · Over	WON	$215
Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 35.5 · Over	WON	$180
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 20.5 · Over	WON	$179
Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 37.5 · Over	WON	$179
O/U 53.5 · Over	WON	$171
Patriots O/U 24.5 · Over	WON	$161
Bills O/U 21.5 · Over	WON	$161
Bills O/U 23.5 · Over	WON	$161
James Cook: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$146
Dawson Knox 2+ TD	WON	$146
James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 85.5 · Over	WON	$146
Patriots O/U 33.5 · Under	WON	$115
O/U 68.5 · Under	WON	$100
O/U 69.5 · Under	WON	$100
O/U 52.5 · Over	WON	$98
TreVeyon Henderson: Receiving Yards O/U 16.5 · Under	WON	$96
Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5 · Under	WON	$73
Spread -10.5 · Bills	WON	$40
First Touchdown: Josh Allen · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Khalil Shakir · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Dawson Knox · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Kayshon Boutte · No Touchdown	WON	$33
First Touchdown: Dalton Kincaid · No Touchdown	WON	$33
Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5 · Under	WON	$33
Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 31.5 · Under	WON	$33
James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 · Under	WON	$33
O/U 51.5 · Over	WON	$24
Spread -7.5 · Bills	WON	$20
O/U 55.5 · Over	WON	$18
Spread -13.5 · Bills	WON	$18
Bills O/U 25.5 · Over	WON	$16
1H Spread -0.5 · Patriots	WON	$15
Patriots O/U 27.5 · Over	WON	$15
1H O/U 25.5 · Over	WON	$15
Spread -8.5 · Bills	WON	$15
Spread -11.5 · Bills	WON	$15
O/U 54.5 · Over	WON	$15
O/U 57.5 · Over	WON	$15
O/U 59.5 · Over	WON	$15
Spread -5.5 · Bills	WON	$15
O/U 60.5 · Over	WON	$15
Spread -9.5 · Bills	WON	$14
First Touchdown: James Cook · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: TreVeyon Henderson · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Stefon Diggs · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Hunter Henry · No Touchdown	WON	$0
First Touchdown: Rhamondre Stevenson · No Touchdown	WON	$0
Spread -3.5 · Bills	WON	$0
O/U 66.5 · Under	WON	$0
O/U 67.5 · Under	WON	$0
O/U 72.5 · Under	WON	$0
Patriots	LOST	$5.2M
Spread -1.5 · Patriots	LOST	$112K
O/U 48.5 · Under	LOST	$111K
Spread -2.5 · Patriots	LOST	$48K
Spread -4.5 · Bills	LOST	$30K
O/U 49.5 · Under	LOST	$15K
O/U 47.5 · Under	LOST	$8K
Spread -1.5 · Patriots	LOST	$7K
Spread -3.5 · Patriots	LOST	$6K
Spread -2.5 · Patriots	LOST	$2K
O/U 50.5 · Under	LOST	$2K
1H Moneyline · Bills	LOST	$1K
O/U 46.5 · Under	LOST	$1K
O/U 58.5 · Under	LOST	$942
TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 · Under	LOST	$479
Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5 · Under	LOST	$402
Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 40.5 · Under	LOST	$401
Dawson Knox: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5 · Under	LOST	$401
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$333
Spread -6.5 · Patriots	LOST	$319
1H O/U 24.5 · Under	LOST	$259
Stefon Diggs: Receiving Yards O/U 47.5 · Over	LOST	$256
Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 41.5 · Over	LOST	$256
1H O/U 23.5 · Under	LOST	$255
1H Spread -1.5 · Bills	LOST	$227
Bills O/U 26.5 · Under	LOST	$225
Patriots O/U 25.5 · Under	LOST	$225
Bills O/U 24.5 · Under	LOST	$220
Bills O/U 20.5 · Under	LOST	$220
Patriots O/U 13.5 · Under	LOST	$215
Bills O/U 32.5 · Under	LOST	$215
Patriots O/U 26.5 · Under	LOST	$215
Bills O/U 22.5 · Under	LOST	$215
Patriots O/U 14.5 · Under	LOST	$215
Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 35.5 · Under	LOST	$180
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 20.5 · Under	LOST	$179
Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 37.5 · Under	LOST	$179
O/U 53.5 · Under	LOST	$171
Patriots O/U 24.5 · Under	LOST	$161
Bills O/U 21.5 · Under	LOST	$161
Bills O/U 23.5 · Under	LOST	$161
James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 85.5 · Under	LOST	$146
Patriots O/U 33.5 · Over	LOST	$115
O/U 68.5 · Over	LOST	$100
O/U 69.5 · Over	LOST	$100
O/U 52.5 · Under	LOST	$98
TreVeyon Henderson: Receiving Yards O/U 16.5 · Over	LOST	$96
Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 18.5 · Over	LOST	$73
Stefon Diggs 2+ TD	LOST	$67
Spread -10.5 · Patriots	LOST	$40
Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Khalil Shakir: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
Kayshon Boutte: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Josh Allen · Josh Allen	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Khalil Shakir · Khalil Shakir	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Dawson Knox · Dawson Knox	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Kayshon Boutte · Kayshon Boutte	LOST	$33
First Touchdown: Dalton Kincaid · Dalton Kincaid	LOST	$33
Rhamondre Stevenson 2+ TD	LOST	$33
Kayshon Boutte 2+ TD	LOST	$33
Dalton Kincaid 2+ TD	LOST	$33
Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5 · Over	LOST	$33
Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 31.5 · Over	LOST	$33
James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 · Over	LOST	$33
O/U 51.5 · Under	LOST	$24
Spread -7.5 · Patriots	LOST	$20
O/U 55.5 · Under	LOST	$18
Spread -13.5 · Patriots	LOST	$18
Bills O/U 25.5 · Under	LOST	$16
1H Spread -0.5 · Bills	LOST	$15
Patriots O/U 27.5 · Under	LOST	$15
1H O/U 25.5 · Under	LOST	$15
Spread -8.5 · Patriots	LOST	$15
Spread -11.5 · Patriots	LOST	$15
O/U 54.5 · Under	LOST	$15
O/U 57.5 · Under	LOST	$15
O/U 59.5 · Under	LOST	$15
Spread -5.5 · Patriots	LOST	$15
O/U 60.5 · Under	LOST	$15
Spread -9.5 · Patriots	LOST	$14
Josh Allen 2+ TD	LOST	$1
Mack Hollins: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: James Cook · James Cook	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: TreVeyon Henderson · TreVeyon Henderson	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Stefon Diggs · Stefon Diggs	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Hunter Henry · Hunter Henry	LOST	$0
First Touchdown: Rhamondre Stevenson · Rhamondre Stevenson	LOST	$0
Hunter Henry 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Khalil Shakir 2+ TD	LOST	$0
Spread -3.5 · Patriots	LOST	$0
O/U 66.5 · Over	LOST	$0
O/U 67.5 · Over	LOST	$0
O/U 72.5 · Over	LOST	$0

Price history to resolution

BillsSpread -1.5 · BillsO/U 48.5 · Over

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 53% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 14 at 8:00AM ET: If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Bills vs. Patriots" resolve?: It resolved Bills around December 14, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 52.5% one day before close, 48.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $5.6M across 101 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.