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Resolved market scorecard

Bills vs. Chiefs: result and scorecard

Resolved Chiefs. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 54.5%; a week before, –. $5.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Chiefs
resolved January 27, 2025

Price 1 day before

54.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$5.3M
1 outcome

SportsNFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
ChiefsWON$5.3M
BillsLOST$5.3M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2001-2301-27
ChiefsBills
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 55% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 26 at 6:30PM ET: If the Buffalo Bills win, the market will resolve to “Bills”. If the Kansas City Chiefs win, the market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Bills vs. Chiefs" resolve?
It resolved Chiefs around January 26, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 54.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$5.3M across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.