Resolved market scorecard
Bills vs. Jaguars: result and scorecard
Resolved Bills. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 48.5%; a week before, –. $14.1M traded in total.
Result
Bills
resolved January 11, 2026
Price 1 day before
48.5%
Market was a coin flip
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$14.1M
49 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Bills | WON |
| Spread -3.5 · Jaguars | WON |
| Spread -2.5 · Bills | WON |
| O/U 51.5 · Under | WON |
| O/U 50.5 · Over | WON |
| 1H Moneyline · Bills | WON |
| O/U 48.5 · Over | WON |
| O/U 54.5 · Under | WON |
| Spread -1.5 · Bills | WON |
| 1H O/U 24.5 · Under | WON |
| Spread -4.5 · Jaguars | WON |
| 1H Spread -0.5 · Bills | WON |
| O/U 47.5 · Over | WON |
| Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5 · Over | WON |
| Brian Thomas Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5 · Under | WON |
| Jaguars O/U 26.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 28.5 · Under | WON |
| Trevor Lawrence: Rushing Yards O/U 25.5 · Over | WON |
| James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5 · Under | WON |
| Travis Etienne Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 64.5 · Over | WON |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 36.5 · Under | WON |
| Bhayshul Tuten: Rushing Yards O/U 22.5 · Over | WON |
| Jakobi Meyers: Receiving Yards O/U 51.5 · Under | WON |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 45.5 · Over | WON |
| James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 13.5 · Under | WON |
| Brenton Strange: Receiving Yards O/U 33.5 · Under | WON |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Under | WON |
| Dawson Knox: Receiving Yards O/U 21.5 · Over | WON |
| Travis Etienne Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 82.5 · Under | WON |
| Brian Thomas Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | WON |
| Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown | WON |
| Travis Etienne Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | WON |
| Parker Washington: Anytime Touchdown | WON |
| Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: Travis Etienne · No Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: James Cook · No Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: Josh Allen · No Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: Jakobi Meyers · No Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: Parker Washington · No Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: Trevor Lawrence · No Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: Brian Thomas Jr. · Brian Thomas Jr. | WON |
| First Touchdown: Brenton Strange · No Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: Dalton Kincaid · No Touchdown | WON |
| First Touchdown: Khalil Shakir · No Touchdown | WON |
| Jaguars | LOST |
| Spread -3.5 · Bills | LOST |
| Spread -2.5 · Jaguars | LOST |
| O/U 51.5 · Over | LOST |
| O/U 50.5 · Under | LOST |
| 1H Moneyline · Jaguars | LOST |
| O/U 48.5 · Under | LOST |
| O/U 54.5 · Over | LOST |
| Spread -1.5 · Jaguars | LOST |
| 1H O/U 24.5 · Over | LOST |
| Spread -4.5 · Bills | LOST |
| 1H Spread -0.5 · Jaguars | LOST |
| O/U 47.5 · Under | LOST |
| Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5 · Under | LOST |
| Trevor Lawrence: Anytime Touchdown | LOST |
| Brian Thomas Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5 · Over | LOST |
| Jaguars O/U 26.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 28.5 · Over | LOST |
| Trevor Lawrence: Rushing Yards O/U 25.5 · Under | LOST |
| James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5 · Over | LOST |
| Travis Etienne Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 64.5 · Under | LOST |
| Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 36.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bhayshul Tuten: Rushing Yards O/U 22.5 · Under | LOST |
| Jakobi Meyers: Receiving Yards O/U 51.5 · Over | LOST |
| Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 45.5 · Under | LOST |
| James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 13.5 · Over | LOST |
| Brenton Strange: Receiving Yards O/U 33.5 · Over | LOST |
| Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Over | LOST |
| Dawson Knox: Receiving Yards O/U 21.5 · Under | LOST |
| Travis Etienne Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 82.5 · Over | LOST |
| James Cook: Anytime Touchdown | LOST |
| Jakobi Meyers: Anytime Touchdown | LOST |
| Brenton Strange: Anytime Touchdown | LOST |
| Bhayshul Tuten: Anytime Touchdown | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Travis Etienne · Travis Etienne | LOST |
| First Touchdown: James Cook · James Cook | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Josh Allen · Josh Allen | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Jakobi Meyers · Jakobi Meyers | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Parker Washington · Parker Washington | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Trevor Lawrence · Trevor Lawrence | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Brian Thomas Jr. · No Touchdown | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Brenton Strange · Brenton Strange | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Dalton Kincaid · Dalton Kincaid | LOST |
| First Touchdown: Khalil Shakir · Khalil Shakir | LOST |
Price history to resolution
BillsSpread -3.5 · JaguarsSpread -2.5 · BillsO/U 51.5 · Under
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 49% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 11 at 1:00PM ET: If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If Jaguars wins, the market will resolve to "Jaguars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Bills vs. Jaguars" resolve?
- It resolved Bills around January 11, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 48.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $14.1M across 49 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.