Resolved market scorecard
Bills vs. Texans: result and scorecard
Resolved Texans. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 28.5%; a week before, –. $9.5M traded in total.
Result
Texans
resolved November 21, 2025
Price 1 day before
28.5%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$9.5M
36 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Texans | WON |
| Spread -6.5 · Texans | WON |
| Spread -3.5 · Texans | WON |
| O/U 44.5 · Under | WON |
| Spread -5.5 · Texans | WON |
| O/U 43.5 · Under | WON |
| Spread -4.5 · Texans | WON |
| 1H O/U 21.5 · Over | WON |
| 1H Moneyline · Texans | WON |
| 1H Spread -3.5 · Texans | WON |
| 1H O/U 22.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 13.5 · Over | WON |
| Bills O/U 14.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 19.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 17.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 10.5 · Over | WON |
| Bills O/U 15.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 18.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 11.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 16.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 20.5 · Over | WON |
| Texans O/U 14.5 · Over | WON |
| Bills O/U 13.5 · Over | WON |
| 1H Spread -2.5 · Texans | WON |
| Texans O/U 29.5 · Under | WON |
| Texans O/U 25.5 · Under | WON |
| Texans O/U 28.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 23.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 32.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 22.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 20.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 24.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 25.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 17.5 · Over | WON |
| Bills O/U 19.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills O/U 28.5 · Under | WON |
| Bills | LOST |
| Spread -6.5 · Bills | LOST |
| Spread -3.5 · Bills | LOST |
| O/U 44.5 · Over | LOST |
| Spread -5.5 · Bills | LOST |
| O/U 43.5 · Over | LOST |
| Spread -4.5 · Bills | LOST |
| 1H O/U 21.5 · Under | LOST |
| 1H Moneyline · Bills | LOST |
| 1H Spread -3.5 · Bills | LOST |
| 1H O/U 22.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 13.5 · Under | LOST |
| Bills O/U 14.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 19.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 17.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 10.5 · Under | LOST |
| Bills O/U 15.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 18.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 11.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 16.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 20.5 · Under | LOST |
| Texans O/U 14.5 · Under | LOST |
| Bills O/U 13.5 · Under | LOST |
| 1H Spread -2.5 · Bills | LOST |
| Texans O/U 29.5 · Over | LOST |
| Texans O/U 25.5 · Over | LOST |
| Texans O/U 28.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 23.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 32.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 22.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 20.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 24.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 25.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 17.5 · Under | LOST |
| Bills O/U 19.5 · Over | LOST |
| Bills O/U 28.5 · Over | LOST |
Price history to resolution
TexansSpread -6.5 · TexansSpread -3.5 · TexansO/U 44.5 · Under
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 28% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 20 at 8:15PM ET: If Buffalo Bills wins, the market will resolve to “Bills”. If Houston Texans wins, the market will resolve to “Texans”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Bills vs. Texans" resolve?
- It resolved Texans around November 21, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 28.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $9.5M across 36 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.