How did "Bills vs. Broncos" resolve?

It resolved Broncos around January 17, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 53.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Bills vs. Broncos: result and scorecard

Name: Bills vs. Broncos prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Broncos. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 53.5%; a week before, –. $13.9M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Broncos

resolved January 18, 2026

Price 1 day before

53.5%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$13.9M

42 outcomes

Sports NFL (All)Games

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Broncos	WON	$12.4M
O/U 46.5 · Over	WON	$773K
Spread -1.5 · Broncos	WON	$583K
1H O/U 23.5 · Over	WON	$81K
Bills O/U 13.5 · Over	WON	$14K
1H Moneyline · Broncos	WON	$4K
Dalton Kincaid: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$3K
1H Spread -0.5 · Broncos	WON	$2K
James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 76.5 · Over	WON	$786
Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 36.5 · Over	WON	$761
James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 97.5 · Under	WON	$663
Broncos O/U 23.5 · Over	WON	$520
Courtland Sutton: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$495
James Cook: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$464
Bo Nix: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$463
Josh Allen: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$454
RJ Harvey: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$447
Khalil Shakir: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$436
Troy Franklin: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$417
Pat Bryant: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$366
Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Over	WON	$313
Brandin Cooks: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5 · Under	WON	$298
RJ Harvey: Rushing Yards O/U 53.5 · Under	WON	$297
Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 47.5 · Over	WON	$281
Dawson Knox: Receiving Yards O/U 21.5 · Over	WON	$256
Pat Bryant: Receiving Yards O/U 31.5 · Over	WON	$200
Evan Engram: First Touchdown · No Touchdown	WON	$196
Courtland Sutton: Receiving Yards O/U 48.5 · Over	WON	$86
Bo Nix: Rushing Yards O/U 22.5 · Over	WON	$86
Troy Franklin: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 · Under	WON	$81
Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$60
Evan Engram: Receiving Yards O/U 21.5 · Under	WON	$50
Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown	WON	$18
Bills	LOST	$12.4M
O/U 46.5 · Under	LOST	$773K
Spread -1.5 · Bills	LOST	$583K
1H O/U 23.5 · Under	LOST	$81K
Bills O/U 13.5 · Under	LOST	$14K
1H Moneyline · Bills	LOST	$4K
Dalton Kincaid: First Touchdown · Dalton Kincaid	LOST	$3K
Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$3K
1H Spread -0.5 · Bills	LOST	$2K
James Cook: Rushing Yards O/U 76.5 · Under	LOST	$786
Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 36.5 · Under	LOST	$761
Bo Nix: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$736
James Cook: Receiving Yards O/U 97.5 · Over	LOST	$663
Broncos O/U 23.5 · Under	LOST	$520
Courtland Sutton: First Touchdown · Courtland Sutton	LOST	$495
James Cook: First Touchdown · James Cook	LOST	$464
Bo Nix: First Touchdown · Bo Nix	LOST	$463
Josh Allen: First Touchdown · Josh Allen	LOST	$454
RJ Harvey: First Touchdown · RJ Harvey	LOST	$447
Khalil Shakir: First Touchdown · Khalil Shakir	LOST	$436
James Cook: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$431
Troy Franklin: First Touchdown · Troy Franklin	LOST	$417
Khalil Shakir: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$393
Pat Bryant: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$389
Pat Bryant: First Touchdown · Pat Bryant	LOST	$366
Dalton Kincaid: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 · Under	LOST	$313
Troy Franklin: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$305
Brandin Cooks: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5 · Over	LOST	$298
RJ Harvey: Rushing Yards O/U 53.5 · Over	LOST	$297
Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 47.5 · Under	LOST	$281
Dawson Knox: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$261
Dawson Knox: Receiving Yards O/U 21.5 · Under	LOST	$256
Pat Bryant: Receiving Yards O/U 31.5 · Under	LOST	$200
Evan Engram: First Touchdown · Evan Engram	LOST	$196
RJ Harvey: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$181
Courtland Sutton: Anytime Touchdown	LOST	$168
Courtland Sutton: Receiving Yards O/U 48.5 · Under	LOST	$86
Bo Nix: Rushing Yards O/U 22.5 · Under	LOST	$86
Troy Franklin: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 · Over	LOST	$81
Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$60
Evan Engram: Receiving Yards O/U 21.5 · Over	LOST	$50

Price history to resolution

BroncosO/U 46.5 · OverSpread -1.5 · Broncos1H O/U 23.5 · Over

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 54% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 17 at 4:30PM ET: If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Bills vs. Broncos" resolve?: It resolved Broncos around January 17, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 53.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $13.9M across 42 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.