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Resolved market scorecard

Next Real Madrid manager?: result and scorecard

Resolved Jose Mourinho. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.0%; a week before, 93.8%. $573K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Jose Mourinho
resolved June 11, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

93.8%
30 days before: 88.5%

Volume

$573K
35 outcomes

SportsSoccerLa Ligareal madrid

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Jose MourinhoWON$233K
Álvaro ArbeloaOPEN$0
Andoni IraolaLOST$226K
Jurgen KloppLOST$26K
Zinedine ZidaneLOST$17K
Massimiliano AllegriLOST$14K
Didier DeschampsLOST$8K
Mauricio PochettinoLOST$8K
Mikel ArtetaLOST$8K
Enzo MarescaLOST$7K
Unai EmeryLOST$5K
Lionel ScaloniLOST$4K
Luis EnriqueLOST$4K
Thomas TuchelLOST$4K
Julian NagelsmannLOST$3K
Oliver GlasnerLOST$3K
Robert De ZerbiLOST$2K
coach DLOST$0
coach ELOST$0
coach FLOST$0
coach GLOST$0
coach HLOST$0
coach ILOST$0
coach JLOST$0
coach KLOST$0
coach LLOST$0
coach MLOST$0
coach NLOST$0
coach OLOST$0
coach PLOST$0
coach QLOST$0
coach RLOST$0
coach SLOST$0
coach TLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-1804-1506-11
Jose MourinhoAndoni IraolaJurgen Klopp
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next Real Madrid manager?" resolve?
It resolved Jose Mourinho around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.0% one day before close, 93.8% one week before and 88.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$573K across 35 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.