Resolved market scorecard
Thunder vs. Magic: result and scorecard
Resolved Thunder. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 62.5%; a week before, –. $41K traded in total.
Result
Thunder
resolved July 16, 2025
Price 1 day before
62.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$41K
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Thunder | WON |
| Magic | LOST |
Price history to resolution
ThunderMagic
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 63% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for July 15 at 6:30PM ET: If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”. If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Thunder vs. Magic" resolve?
- It resolved Thunder around July 15, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 62.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $41K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.