Thunder vs. Grizzlies: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Thunder at 61.5%, ahead of Grizzlies at 38.5%. $10K traded across 127 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game (top 60 of 127 by volume)
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies moneyline | Thunder 61.5% | Grizzlies 38.5% |
| O/U 225.5 totals | Over 51.5% | Under 48.5% |
| O/U 224.5 totals | Over 54.0% | Under 46.0% |
| Spread -3.5 spreads | Thunder 52.0% | Grizzlies 48.0% |
| Spread -6.5 spreads | Thunder 40.0% | Grizzlies 60.0% |
| Spread -4.5 spreads | Thunder 48.0% | Grizzlies 52.0% |
| O/U 222.5 totals | Over 57.0% | Under 43.0% |
| Spread -2.5 spreads | Thunder 55.0% | Grizzlies 45.0% |
| O/U 226.5 totals | Over 48.5% | Under 51.5% |
| Spread -5.5 spreads | Thunder 44.0% | Grizzlies 56.0% |
| O/U 220.5 totals | Over 62.5% | Under 37.5% |
| Spread -1.5 spreads | Thunder 59.0% | Grizzlies 41.0% |
| O/U 228.5 totals | Over 44.0% | Under 56.0% |
| O/U 218.5 totals | Over 67.0% | Under 33.0% |
| Spread -7.5 spreads | Thunder 38.0% | Grizzlies 62.0% |
| O/U 230.5 totals | Over 39.5% | Under 60.5% |
| Spread -8.5 spreads | Thunder 34.0% | Grizzlies 66.0% |
| O/U 216.5 totals | Over 71.0% | Under 29.0% |
| Spread -1.5 spreads | Grizzlies 36.0% | Thunder 64.0% |
| O/U 232.5 totals | Over 35.5% | Under 64.5% |
| Spread -9.5 spreads | Thunder 31.0% | Grizzlies 69.0% |
| O/U 214.5 totals | Over 74.0% | Under 26.0% |
| Spread -2.5 spreads | Grizzlies 33.0% | Thunder 67.0% |
| O/U 234.5 totals | Over 31.0% | Under 69.0% |
| Spread -11.5 spreads | Thunder 25.5% | Grizzlies 74.5% |
| O/U 212.5 totals | Over 78.0% | Under 22.0% |
| Spread -4.5 spreads | Grizzlies 26.0% | Thunder 74.0% |
| O/U 236.5 totals | Over 27.0% | Under 73.0% |
| Spread -13.5 spreads | Thunder 21.0% | Grizzlies 79.0% |
| O/U 210.5 totals | Over 81.0% | Under 19.0% |
| Spread -6.5 spreads | Grizzlies 20.5% | Thunder 79.5% |
| O/U 238.5 totals | Over 23.5% | Under 76.5% |
| Spread -15.5 spreads | Thunder 16.0% | Grizzlies 84.0% |
| O/U 208.5 totals | Over 84.0% | Under 16.0% |
| Spread -8.5 spreads | Grizzlies 17.0% | Thunder 83.0% |
| O/U 240.5 totals | Over 20.0% | Under 80.0% |
| Spread -17.5 spreads | Thunder 13.5% | Grizzlies 86.5% |
| O/U 206.5 totals | Over 86.5% | Under 13.5% |
| Spread -10.5 spreads | Grizzlies 13.5% | Thunder 86.5% |
| O/U 242.5 totals | Over 17.0% | Under 83.0% |
| Spread -19.5 spreads | Thunder 10.0% | Grizzlies 90.0% |
| O/U 204.5 totals | Over 89.5% | Under 10.5% |
| Spread -12.5 spreads | Grizzlies 10.5% | Thunder 89.5% |
| O/U 244.5 totals | Over 14.0% | Under 86.0% |
| Spread -21.5 spreads | Thunder 7.5% | Grizzlies 92.5% |
| O/U 202.5 totals | Over 91.5% | Under 8.5% |
| Spread -14.5 spreads | Grizzlies 7.5% | Thunder 92.5% |
| O/U 246.5 totals | Over 11.5% | Under 88.5% |
| Spread -23.5 spreads | Thunder 9.0% | Grizzlies 91.0% |
| O/U 200.5 totals | Over 92.5% | Under 7.5% |
| Spread -16.5 spreads | Grizzlies 7.0% | Thunder 93.0% |
| O/U 248.5 totals | Over 10.0% | Under 90.0% |
| Spread -25.5 spreads | Thunder 4.5% | Grizzlies 95.5% |
| O/U 198.5 totals | Over 93.5% | Under 6.5% |
| Spread -18.5 spreads | Grizzlies 6.0% | Thunder 94.0% |
| O/U 250.5 totals | Over 8.0% | Under 92.0% |
| Spread -27.5 spreads | Thunder 4.0% | Grizzlies 96.0% |
| O/U 196.5 totals | Over 94.5% | Under 5.5% |
| Spread -20.5 spreads | Grizzlies 4.5% | Thunder 95.5% |
| O/U 252.5 totals | Over 11.0% | Under 89.0% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
In the upcoming NBA game between Thunder and Grizzlies, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game between Thunder and Grizzlies, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Grizzlies" if the Grizzlies win the game by 23 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Thunder vs. Grizzlies"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Thunder is the favorite at 61.5%, followed by Spread -27.5 · Grizzlies at 96.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $10K in total and $9K in the last 24 hours, with about $294K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.