Resolved market scorecard
Monad FDV one day after launch?: result and scorecard
Resolved >$2B. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 91.0%; a week before, 93.3%. $53.8M traded in total.
Result
>$2B
resolved November 25, 2025
Price 1 day before
91.0%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
93.3%
30 days before: 95.0%
Volume
$53.8M
9 outcomes
FDVAirdropsCryptoFeaturedMonad
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| >$2B | WON |
| >$3B | WON |
| >$4B | LOST |
| >$5B | LOST |
| >$6B | LOST |
| >$8B | LOST |
| >$10B | LOST |
| >$14B | LOST |
| >$12B | LOST |
Price history to resolution
>$2B>$3B>$4B>$5B
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 91% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on Monad FDV
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Monad FDV one day after launch?" resolve?
- It resolved >$2B around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 91.0% one day before close, 93.3% one week before and 95.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $53.8M across 9 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.