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Resolved market scorecard

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: result and scorecard

Resolved Real Madrid CF. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 25.5%; a week before, 20.5%. $10.8M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Real Madrid CF
resolved October 25, 2026

Price 1 day before

25.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

20.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$10.8M
3 outcomes

SportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Real Madrid CFWON$5.3M
FC BarcelonaLOST$3.4M
Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF)LOST$2.1M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-1210-1910-25
Real Madrid CFFC BarcelonaDraw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 26% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF.

Frequently asked questions

How did "FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF" resolve?
It resolved Real Madrid CF around October 25, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 25.5% one day before close, 20.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$10.8M across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.