Kansas Governor Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Cindy Holscher (D) at 99.5%, ahead of Ty Masterson (R) at 0.7%. $863K traded across 2 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Kansas MidtermGovernor ElectionsMidtermsElectionsUS Election
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Cindy Holscher (D) | 99.5% | -0.1 |
| Ty Masterson (R) | 0.7% | +0.4 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:38 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Kansas Governor Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Cindy Holscher (D) is the favorite at 99.5%, followed by Ty Masterson (R) at 0.7%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 4, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $863K in total and $22K in the last 24 hours, with about $125K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.