Who is favored in "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?"?

As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 8.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$475K in total and $5 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Live market data

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is December 31 at 8.5%. $475K traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

8.5%

December 31 · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d -3.0

Volume

$475K

24h $5 · liquidity $2K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Fed Chair Fed Trump Jerome Powell Economic Policy

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
December 31	8.5%	0.0	-3.0	$188K	1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 9% risks 9¢ to win 92¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?"?: As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 8.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $475K in total and $5 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.