M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Samuele Pieri at 73.0%, ahead of Marcel Zielinski at 27.0%. $322 traded across 3 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski moneyline | Samuele Pieri 73.0% | Marcel Zielinski 27.0% |
| M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski Set Handicap +/-1.5 tennis set handicap | Marcel Zielinski 50.0% | Samuele Pieri 50.0% |
| M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski Set Handicap +/-1.5 tennis set handicap | Samuele Pieri 50.0% | Marcel Zielinski 50.0% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuele Pieri and Marcel Zielinski in the M25 Valencia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Marcel Zielinski. This market will resolve to 'Marcel Zielinski' if Marcel Zielinski advances against Samuele Pieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Samuele Pieri is the favorite at 73.0%, followed by M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Samuele Pieri at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 12, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $322 in total and $161 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.