LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Resolved market scorecard

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved TISZA. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 73.5%; a week before, 68.5%. $63.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

TISZA
resolved April 13, 2026

Price 1 day before

73.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

68.5%
30 days before: 62.0%

Volume

$63.7M
37 outcomes

Hungary ElectionHungaryWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsElections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
TISZAWON$4.8M
JobbikLOST$16.6M
LMPLOST$15.4M
DKLOST$7.6M
PárbeszédLOST$7.1M
KDNPLOST$4.6M
Fidesz-KDNPLOST$4.5M
Mi HazánkLOST$1.6M
MomentumLOST$977K
MSZPLOST$583K
OtherLOST$0
Party ALOST$0
Party BLOST$0
Party CLOST$0
Party DLOST$0
Party ELOST$0
Party FLOST$0
Party GLOST$0
Party HLOST$0
Party ILOST$0
Party JLOST$0
Party KLOST$0
Party LLOST$0
Party MLOST$0
Party NLOST$0
Party OLOST$0
Party PLOST$0
Party QLOST$0
Party RLOST$0
Party SLOST$0
Party TLOST$0
Party ULOST$0
Party VLOST$0
Party WLOST$0
Party XLOST$0
Party YLOST$0
Party ZLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-1702-1104-09
TISZAJobbikLMPDK
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 74% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner" resolve?
It resolved TISZA around April 12, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 73.5% one day before close, 68.5% one week before and 62.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$63.7M across 37 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.