Who is favored in "How many jobs added in October?"?

As of November 6, 2026, 25k to 50k is the favorite at 26.5%, followed by 100k+ at 25.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$39K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $9K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / How many jobs added in October?

Live market data

How many jobs added in October?: live odds and probabilities

Name: How many jobs added in October? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is 25k to 50k at 26.5%, ahead of 100k+ at 25.0%. $39K traded across 7 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

26.5%

25k to 50k · Trade →

24h move

+4.5

pts · 7d +10.5

Volume

$39K

24h $3K · liquidity $9K

Closes

November 7, 2026

1 days left

NFP Economy Recurring Jobs Report nonfarm payroll

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
25k to 50k	26.5%	+4.5	+10.5	$4K	27.0¢
100k+	25.0%	-4.5	-4.5	$21K	4.0¢
50k to 75k	19.5%	-3.5	+1.5	$3K	1.0¢
75k to 100k	16.4%	-0.2	+1.4	$2K	13.5¢
-25k to 0	7.7%	+1.1	+3.2	$2K	1.8¢
0 to 25k	5.6%	-3.8	-1.7	$3K	9.6¢
<-25k	3.4%	+0.1	-2.5	$2K	1.9¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

25k to 50k100k+50k to 75k75k to 100k

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 25k to 50k at 27% risks 27¢ to win 74¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "How many jobs added in October?"?: As of November 6, 2026, 25k to 50k is the favorite at 26.5%, followed by 100k+ at 25.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $39K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $9K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.