Who is favored in "How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?"?

As of November 6, 2026, 0 is the favorite at 53.5%, followed by 1 at 21.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 28, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$26K in total and $59 in the last 24 hours, with about $22K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Live market data

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?: live odds and probabilities

Name: How many dissent at the January Fed meeting? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is 0 at 53.5%, ahead of 1 at 21.0%. $26K traded across 5 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

53.5%

0 · Trade →

24h move

-4.0

pts · 7d -0.5

Volume

$26K

24h $59 · liquidity $22K

Closes

January 28, 2027

83 days left

Fed jpow Fed Rates Global Rates United States

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
0	53.5%	-4.0	-0.5	$6K	1.0¢
1	21.0%	-0.5	+5.5	$3K	16.0¢
3	12.5%	0.0	-7.5	$11K	13.0¢
4+	6.5%	+0.1	-1.6	$5K	8.1¢
2	5.5%	+0.1	-1.5	$2K	3.7¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

0134+

Market rules and resolution

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 0 at 54% risks 54¢ to win 47¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?"?: As of November 6, 2026, 0 is the favorite at 53.5%, followed by 1 at 21.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 28, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $26K in total and $59 in the last 24 hours, with about $22K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.