Resolved market scorecard
United States vs. Paraguay: result and scorecard
Resolved United States. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 47.5%; a week before, 49.5%. $39.3M traded in total.
Result
United States
resolved June 13, 2026
Price 1 day before
47.5%
Market was a coin flip
Price 7 days before
49.5%
30 days before: 48.5%
Volume
$39.3M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| United States | WON |
| Paraguay | LOST |
| Draw (United States vs. Paraguay) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
United StatesParaguayDraw (United States vs. Paraguay)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 48% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, June 12, 2026 between United States and Paraguay.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "United States vs. Paraguay" resolve?
- It resolved United States around June 13, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 47.5% one day before close, 49.5% one week before and 48.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $39.3M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.