Resolved market scorecard
Türkiye vs. United States: result and scorecard
Resolved Türkiye. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 25.5%; a week before, 34.5%. $47.1M traded in total.
Result
Türkiye
resolved June 26, 2026
Price 1 day before
25.5%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
34.5%
30 days before: 35.5%
Volume
$47.1M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Türkiye | WON |
| United States | LOST |
| Draw (Türkiye vs. United States) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
TürkiyeUnited StatesDraw (Türkiye vs. United States)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 26% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, June 25, 2026 between Türkiye and United States.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Türkiye vs. United States" resolve?
- It resolved Türkiye around June 26, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 25.5% one day before close, 34.5% one week before and 35.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $47.1M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.