Resolved market scorecard
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: result and scorecard
Resolved Paraguay. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 24.5%; a week before, 23.5%. $32.6M traded in total.
Result
Paraguay
resolved June 20, 2026
Price 1 day before
24.5%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
23.5%
30 days before: 27.0%
Volume
$32.6M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Paraguay | WON |
| Türkiye | LOST |
| Draw (Türkiye vs. Paraguay) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
ParaguayTürkiyeDraw (Türkiye vs. Paraguay)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 25% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, June 19, 2026 between Türkiye and Paraguay.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Türkiye vs. Paraguay" resolve?
- It resolved Paraguay around June 20, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 24.5% one day before close, 23.5% one week before and 27.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $32.6M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.