How did "Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets" resolve?

It resolved Team to Advance · Spain around July 6, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 66.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets

Resolved market scorecard

Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets: result and scorecard

Name: Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Team to Advance · Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 66.5%; a week before, –. $36.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Team to Advance · Spain

resolved July 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

66.5%

Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$36.7M

45 outcomes

Sports Games Soccer FIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Team to Advance · Spain	WON	$10.9M
O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$9.2M
O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$2.4M
Spain (-1.5) · Portugal	WON	$1.5M
O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$1.5M
O/U 3.5 · Under	WON	$1.4M
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$817K
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$735K
Portugal (-1.5) · Spain	WON	$469K
Spain O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$462K
O/U 4.5 · Under	WON	$400K
Portugal (-2.5) · Spain	WON	$324K
Spain (-3.5) · Portugal	WON	$279K
Portugal O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$263K
Spain (-2.5) · Portugal	WON	$199K
Portugal O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$179K
Spain O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$171K
O/U 6.5 · Under	WON	$149K
O/U 5.5 · Under	WON	$141K
Portugal O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$104K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$96K
O/U 8.5 · Under	WON	$92K
O/U 7.5 · Under	WON	$91K
Spain (-4.5) · Portugal	WON	$83K
Spain O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$71K
Portugal (-3.5) · Spain	WON	$54K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$32K
Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$28K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$26K
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$25K
Spain (-5.5) · Portugal	WON	$22K
Portugal (-4.5) · Spain	WON	$13K
Portugal (-5.5) · Spain	WON	$13K
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$10K
Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$7K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	WON	$6K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Under	WON	$3K
Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	WON	$2K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$812
Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Under	WON	$643
Team to Advance · Portugal	LOST	$10.9M
O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$9.2M
Both Teams to Score	LOST	$3.9M
O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$2.4M
Spain (-1.5) · Spain	LOST	$1.5M
O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$1.5M
O/U 3.5 · Over	LOST	$1.4M
1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$817K
1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$735K
Portugal (-1.5) · Portugal	LOST	$469K
Spain O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$462K
O/U 4.5 · Over	LOST	$400K
Portugal (-2.5) · Portugal	LOST	$324K
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	LOST	$310K
Spain (-3.5) · Spain	LOST	$279K
Portugal O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$263K
Spain (-2.5) · Spain	LOST	$199K
Portugal O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$179K
Spain O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$171K
O/U 6.5 · Over	LOST	$149K
O/U 5.5 · Over	LOST	$141K
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	LOST	$105K
Portugal O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$104K
Both Teams to Score in First Half	LOST	$98K
1st Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$96K
O/U 8.5 · Over	LOST	$92K
O/U 7.5 · Over	LOST	$91K
Spain (-4.5) · Spain	LOST	$83K
Spain O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$71K
Both Teams to Score in Second Half	LOST	$67K
Portugal (-3.5) · Portugal	LOST	$54K
2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$32K
Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$28K
2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$26K
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$25K
Spain (-5.5) · Spain	LOST	$22K
Portugal (-4.5) · Portugal	LOST	$13K
Portugal (-5.5) · Portugal	LOST	$13K
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$10K
Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$7K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Under	LOST	$6K
2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Over	LOST	$3K
Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over	LOST	$2K
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$812
Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over	LOST	$643

Price history to resolution

Team to Advance · SpainO/U 2.5 · UnderO/U 1.5 · UnderSpain (-1.5) · Portugal

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 67% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets" resolve?: It resolved Team to Advance · Spain around July 6, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 66.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $36.7M across 45 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Jaguars vs. Ravens Magic vs. Suns Heat vs. Warriors Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia - More Markets UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Blues vs. Devils Worlds 2026: Winner All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.