Resolved market scorecard
Portugal vs. Spain: result and scorecard
Resolved Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 50.5%; a week before, –. $32.1M traded in total.
Result
Spain
resolved July 6, 2026
Price 1 day before
50.5%
Market was a coin flip
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$32.1M
3 outcomes
SportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Spain | WON |
| Portugal | LOST |
| Draw (Portugal vs. Spain) | LOST |
Price history to resolution
SpainPortugalDraw (Portugal vs. Spain)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 51% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, July 6, 2026 between Portugal and Spain.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Portugal vs. Spain" resolve?
- It resolved Spain around July 6, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 50.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $32.1M across 3 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.